Eredivisie | Gameweek 9
Oct 21, 2023 at 7pm UK
Goffertstadion
Nijmegen1 - 1Almere City
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Heerenveen 1-1 Nijmegen
Saturday, October 7 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie
Saturday, October 7 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Almere City 1-0 RKC Waalwijk
Saturday, October 7 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie
Saturday, October 7 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie
We said: NEC 1-1 Almere City
With two wins, two draws and two defeats in their previous six matches, Nijmegen are a tough side to predict, but there should be goals, even if the two sides are difficult to separate on paper. Almere produced two mammoth performances to get their first top-flight wins before the international break, and maintaining a position outside of the bottom three will be the aim now. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 57.93%. A win for Almere City had a probability of 21.35% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.04%) and 1-0 (7.63%). The likeliest Almere City win was 1-2 (5.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| NEC | Draw | Almere City |
57.93% ( 0.04) | 20.73% ( -0.02) | 21.35% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 61.68% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.43% ( 0.07) | 35.56% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.38% ( 0.08) | 57.62% ( -0.08) |
| NEC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.85% ( 0.03) | 12.15% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 62.23% ( 0.07) | 37.77% ( -0.07) |
| Almere City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.22% ( 0.02) | 29.78% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.15% ( 0.03) | 65.85% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
NEC 57.93%
Almere City 21.35%
Draw 20.73%
| NEC | Draw | Almere City |
| 2-1 @ 9.74% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.04% ( -0.01)1-0 @ 7.63% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 6.84% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 5.65% ( 0)3-2 @ 4.14% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 3.6% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.98% ( 0)4-2 @ 2.18% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.52% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.25% ( 0)5-2 @ 0.92% ( 0)Other @ 3.44% Total : 57.93% | 1-1 @ 9.24% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.9% ( 0)0-0 @ 3.62% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.67% ( 0)Other @ 0.3% Total : 20.73% | 1-2 @ 5.6% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 4.38% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.66% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.38% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.26% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.07% ( -0)Other @ 3% Total : 21.35% |
Head to Head
Apr 2, 2021 7pm
Sep 20, 2020 7pm
Apr 13, 2020 1.30pm
Gameweek 35
Almere City
P-P
Nijmegen
Dec 13, 2019 7pm
Gameweek 19
Nijmegen
2-3
Almere City
Feb 22, 2019 7pm
Form Guide
