MX23RW : Sunday, September 29 18:42:27| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
AZ Alkmaar
Eredivisie | Gameweek 7
Sep 18, 2022 at 3.45pm UK
AFAS Stadion, Alkmaar
Ajax

AZ
2 - 1
Ajax

de Wit (40'), Odgaard (45+5')
Milos (42'), Odgaard (45+3'), Reijnders (87')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Kudus (12')
Taylor (26'), Alvarez (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between AZ Alkmaar and Ajax, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: AZ 4-1 Vaduz
Thursday, September 15 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Liverpool 2-1 Ajax
Tuesday, September 13 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: AZ Alkmaar 1-3 Ajax

Despite failing to win any of the league encounters between the teams last time out, Ajax have dominated this fixture to a large degree, and it is hard to foresee any other result rather than a win for them. While we expect AZ Alkmaar to give a good account of themselves, we are also backing the visitors to carry the day. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 50.84%. A win for AZ Alkmaar had a probability of 26.96% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.3%) and 0-2 (7.01%). The likeliest AZ Alkmaar win was 2-1 (6.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.

Result
AZ AlkmaarDrawAjax
26.96% (-1.004 -1) 22.2% (-0.182 -0.18) 50.84% (1.186 1.19)
Both teams to score 63.22% (-0.221 -0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.47% (0.080999999999996 0.08)36.53% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.32% (0.091000000000001 0.09)58.68% (-0.089999999999996 -0.09)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.07% (-0.636 -0.64)25.93% (0.637 0.64)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.07% (-0.868 -0.87)60.93% (0.868 0.87)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.36% (0.431 0.43)14.64% (-0.429 -0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.22% (0.819 0.82)42.78% (-0.818 -0.82)
Score Analysis
    AZ Alkmaar 26.96%
    Ajax 50.84%
    Draw 22.2%
AZ AlkmaarDrawAjax
2-1 @ 6.65% (-0.171 -0.17)
1-0 @ 5.13% (-0.116 -0.12)
2-0 @ 3.46% (-0.143 -0.14)
3-1 @ 2.99% (-0.133 -0.13)
3-2 @ 2.87% (-0.083 -0.08)
3-0 @ 1.56% (-0.095 -0.1)
4-1 @ 1.01% (-0.064 -0.06)
4-2 @ 0.97% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 26.96%
1-1 @ 9.85% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-2 @ 6.38% (-0.066 -0.07)
0-0 @ 3.8% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.84% (-0.025 -0.03)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 22.2%
1-2 @ 9.46% (0.075000000000001 0.08)
0-1 @ 7.3% (0.081 0.08)
0-2 @ 7.01% (0.183 0.18)
1-3 @ 6.06% (0.139 0.14)
0-3 @ 4.49% (0.182 0.18)
2-3 @ 4.09% (0.02 0.02)
1-4 @ 2.91% (0.109 0.11)
0-4 @ 2.16% (0.118 0.12)
2-4 @ 1.96% (0.039 0.04)
1-5 @ 1.12% (0.059 0.06)
Other @ 4.31%
Total : 50.84%

How you voted: AZ vs Ajax

AZ Alkmaar
12.3%
Draw
7.7%
Ajax
80.0%
65
Head to Head
May 8, 2022 1.30pm
AZ
2-2
Ajax
Pavlidis (62'), Evjen (75')
Clasie (72'), Pavlidis (90+1'), Wijndal (90+4')
Brobbey (42'), Alvarez (86')
Klaassen (78')
Mar 3, 2022 7pm
AZ
0-2
Ajax

Hatzidiakos (27'), Clasie (71')
Berghuis (11'), Klaassen (89')
Haller (37'), Blind (74')
Dec 12, 2021 3.45pm
Ajax
1-2
AZ
Haller (73')
Martinez (33'), Gravenberch (90+1')
Pavlidis (50'), Aboukhlal (83')
Wijndal (69')
Apr 25, 2021 1.30pm
Jan 31, 2021 3.45pm
AZ
0-3
Ajax
Antony (14'), Klaassen (60'), Neres (90+4')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV77002542121
2AZ AlkmaarAZ65101621416
3FC Twente7421135814
4FC UtrechtUtrecht541095413
5Ajax5311103710
6Feyenoord6240126610
7Sparta RotterdamSparta724187110
8Go Ahead Eagles731369-310
9Groningen723210829
10Heracles723269-39
11Willem II722310918
12NECNijmegen721478-17
13PEC Zwolle7214710-37
14Fortuna SittardSittard7214713-67
15Heerenveen7214916-77
16NAC BredaNAC Breda7205514-96
17Almere CityAlmere City7025218-162
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk7007319-160


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