MX23RW : Thursday, May 8 19:22:42| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
AZ Alkmaar
Eredivisie | Gameweek 7
Sep 18, 2022 at 3.45pm UK
AFAS Stadion, Alkmaar
Ajax

AZ
2 - 1
Ajax

de Wit (40'), Odgaard (45+5')
Milos (42'), Odgaard (45+3'), Reijnders (87')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Kudus (12')
Taylor (26'), Alvarez (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between AZ Alkmaar and Ajax, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: AZ 4-1 Vaduz
Thursday, September 15 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Liverpool 2-1 Ajax
Tuesday, September 13 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: AZ Alkmaar 1-3 Ajax

Despite failing to win any of the league encounters between the teams last time out, Ajax have dominated this fixture to a large degree, and it is hard to foresee any other result rather than a win for them. While we expect AZ Alkmaar to give a good account of themselves, we are also backing the visitors to carry the day. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 50.84%. A win for AZ Alkmaar had a probability of 26.96% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.3%) and 0-2 (7.01%). The likeliest AZ Alkmaar win was 2-1 (6.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.

Result
AZ AlkmaarDrawAjax
26.96% (-1.004 -1) 22.2% (-0.182 -0.18) 50.84% (1.186 1.19)
Both teams to score 63.22% (-0.221 -0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.47% (0.080999999999996 0.08)36.53% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.32% (0.091000000000001 0.09)58.68% (-0.089999999999996 -0.09)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.07% (-0.636 -0.64)25.93% (0.637 0.64)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.07% (-0.868 -0.87)60.93% (0.868 0.87)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.36% (0.431 0.43)14.64% (-0.429 -0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.22% (0.819 0.82)42.78% (-0.818 -0.82)
Score Analysis
    AZ Alkmaar 26.96%
    Ajax 50.84%
    Draw 22.2%
AZ AlkmaarDrawAjax
2-1 @ 6.65% (-0.171 -0.17)
1-0 @ 5.13% (-0.116 -0.12)
2-0 @ 3.46% (-0.143 -0.14)
3-1 @ 2.99% (-0.133 -0.13)
3-2 @ 2.87% (-0.083 -0.08)
3-0 @ 1.56% (-0.095 -0.1)
4-1 @ 1.01% (-0.064 -0.06)
4-2 @ 0.97% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 26.96%
1-1 @ 9.85% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-2 @ 6.38% (-0.066 -0.07)
0-0 @ 3.8% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.84% (-0.025 -0.03)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 22.2%
1-2 @ 9.46% (0.075000000000001 0.08)
0-1 @ 7.3% (0.081 0.08)
0-2 @ 7.01% (0.183 0.18)
1-3 @ 6.06% (0.139 0.14)
0-3 @ 4.49% (0.182 0.18)
2-3 @ 4.09% (0.02 0.02)
1-4 @ 2.91% (0.109 0.11)
0-4 @ 2.16% (0.118 0.12)
2-4 @ 1.96% (0.039 0.04)
1-5 @ 1.12% (0.059 0.06)
Other @ 4.31%
Total : 50.84%

How you voted: AZ vs Ajax

AZ Alkmaar
Draw
Ajax
AZ Alkmaar
12.3%
Draw
7.7%
Ajax
80.0%
65
Head to Head
May 8, 2022 1.30pm
AZ
2-2
Ajax
Pavlidis (62'), Evjen (75')
Clasie (72'), Pavlidis (90+1'), Wijndal (90+4')
Brobbey (42'), Alvarez (86')
Klaassen (78')
Mar 3, 2022 7pm
AZ
0-2
Ajax

Hatzidiakos (27'), Clasie (71')
Berghuis (11'), Klaassen (89')
Haller (37'), Blind (74')
Dec 12, 2021 3.45pm
Ajax
1-2
AZ
Haller (73')
Martinez (33'), Gravenberch (90+1')
Pavlidis (50'), Aboukhlal (83')
Wijndal (69')
Apr 25, 2021 1.30pm
Jan 31, 2021 3.45pm
AZ
0-3
Ajax
Antony (14'), Klaassen (60'), Neres (90+4')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Ajax31235363273674
2PSV EindhovenPSV31224593355870
3Feyenoord31198472333965
4FC UtrechtUtrecht31188561421962
5FC Twente31149858441451
6AZ AlkmaarAZ31148951341750
7Go Ahead Eagles31138105249347
8Heerenveen31117133953-1440
9Groningen31108133846-838
10Fortuna SittardSittard31106153553-1836
11Sparta RotterdamSparta31811123439-535
12Heracles31811123856-1835
13NECNijmegen3197154345-234
14PEC Zwolle31810133849-1134
15NAC BredaNAC Breda3188153353-2032
16Willem II3167183151-2025
17Almere CityAlmere City3148192159-3820
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk3147203668-3219


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