Sparta2 - 3AZ
Form, Standings, Stats
Friday, August 5 at 7pm in Eredivisie
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | Groningen | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | Sparta Rotterdam | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 13 | Cambuur | 2 | -2 | 1 |
Thursday, August 11 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Feyenoord | 2 | 3 | 4 |
| 4 | AZ Alkmaar | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | Ajax | 1 | 1 | 3 |
We said: Sparta Rotterdam 1-2 AZ Alkmaar
AZ Alkmaar have enjoyed the better of this fixture of late and will be confident of keeping their good run going. We fancy them to emerge victorious come the sound of the final whistle in Rotterdam. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 58.13%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 19.12%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.49%) and 1-2 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.82%), while for a Sparta Rotterdam win it was 1-0 (5.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
19.12% ( 0.01) | 22.75% ( 0.01) | 58.13% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 51.05% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.11% ( -0.02) | 47.89% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.93% ( -0.02) | 70.07% ( 0.02) |
| Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.9% ( -0.01) | 39.1% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 24.18% ( -0) | 75.81% ( -0) |
| AZ Alkmaar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.82% ( -0.02) | 16.18% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 54.35% ( -0.03) | 45.65% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
| 1-0 @ 5.94% ( 0) 2-1 @ 5.08% ( 0)2-0 @ 2.79% ( 0)3-1 @ 1.59% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.45% Other @ 2.27% Total : 19.12% | 1-1 @ 10.82% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.33% ( 0)2-2 @ 4.63% ( -0)Other @ 0.98% Total : 22.75% | 0-1 @ 11.52% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 10.49% 1-2 @ 9.85% ( -0)0-3 @ 6.37% ( -0)1-3 @ 5.98% ( -0)0-4 @ 2.9% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.81% ( -0)1-4 @ 2.72% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.28% ( -0)0-5 @ 1.06% ( -0)1-5 @ 0.99% ( -0)Other @ 2.14% Total : 58.12% |
