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Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
11 | Groningen | 1 | 0 | 1 |
12 | Sparta Rotterdam | 1 | 0 | 1 |
13 | Cambuur | 2 | -2 | 1 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
3 | Feyenoord | 2 | 3 | 4 |
4 | AZ Alkmaar | 1 | 2 | 3 |
5 | Ajax | 1 | 1 | 3 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 58.13%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 19.12%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.49%) and 1-2 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.82%), while for a Sparta Rotterdam win it was 1-0 (5.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.
Result | ||
Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
19.12% ( 0.01) | 22.75% ( 0.01) | 58.13% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 51.05% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.11% ( -0.02) | 47.89% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.93% ( -0.02) | 70.07% ( 0.02) |
Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.9% ( -0.01) | 39.1% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.18% ( -0) | 75.81% ( -0) |
AZ Alkmaar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.82% ( -0.02) | 16.18% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.35% ( -0.03) | 45.65% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
1-0 @ 5.94% ( 0) 2-1 @ 5.08% ( 0) 2-0 @ 2.79% ( 0) 3-1 @ 1.59% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.45% Other @ 2.27% Total : 19.12% | 1-1 @ 10.82% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.33% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.63% ( -0) Other @ 0.98% Total : 22.75% | 0-1 @ 11.52% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 10.49% 1-2 @ 9.85% ( -0) 0-3 @ 6.37% ( -0) 1-3 @ 5.98% ( -0) 0-4 @ 2.9% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.81% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.72% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.28% ( -0) 0-5 @ 1.06% ( -0) 1-5 @ 0.99% ( -0) Other @ 2.14% Total : 58.12% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 9 | 31 | 33 |
2 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 28 |
3 | Ajax | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 26 |
4 | Feyenoord | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 28 | 13 | 15 | 25 |
5 | FC Twente | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 22 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
7 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 17 |
8 | NECNijmegen | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 16 |
9 | Willem II | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 15 |
10 | Go Ahead Eagles | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 15 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 15 |
12 | Heerenveen | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 14 |
13 | Groningen | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 12 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
15 | Heracles | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 12 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 11 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 27 | -21 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 | 31 | -21 | 4 |
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