Eredivisie | Gameweek 20

Jan 31, 2021 at 3.45pm UK

AFAS Stadion, Alkmaar

AZ
0 - 3
Ajax

FT(HT: 0-1)

Antony (14'), Klaassen (60'), Neres (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between AZ Alkmaar and Ajax, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 57.87%. A win for AZ Alkmaar had a probability of 21.8% and a draw had a probability of 20.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.51%) and 1-3 (6.94%). The likeliest AZ Alkmaar win was 2-1 (5.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.

Result
AZ Alkmaar	Draw	Ajax
21.8%	20.33%	57.87%

Both teams to score 63.88%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.98%

33.02%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

45.25%

54.74%

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.07%

27.93%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.45%

63.55%

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.63%

11.36%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.92%

36.08%

Score Analysis

AZ Alkmaar 21.8%

Ajax 57.87%

Draw 20.33%

AZ Alkmaar	Draw	Ajax
2-1 @ 5.62% 1-0 @ 4.05% 3-2 @ 2.6% 2-0 @ 2.58% 3-1 @ 2.39% 3-0 @ 1.1% Other @ 3.47% Total : 21.8%	1-1 @ 8.8% 2-2 @ 6.11% 0-0 @ 3.17% 3-3 @ 1.88% Other @ 0.37% Total : 20.33%	1-2 @ 9.57% 0-2 @ 7.51% 1-3 @ 6.94% 0-1 @ 6.9% 0-3 @ 5.44% 2-3 @ 4.43% 1-4 @ 3.77% 0-4 @ 2.96% 2-4 @ 2.41% 1-5 @ 1.64% 0-5 @ 1.29% 2-5 @ 1.05% 3-4 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.95% Total : 57.87%