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Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
9 | NEC | 3 | 2 | 4 |
10 | Cambuur | 3 | 1 | 4 |
11 | Sparta Rotterdam | 4 | -1 | 4 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
6 | FC Twente | 2 | 4 | 6 |
7 | AZ Alkmaar | 2 | 3 | 6 |
8 | Groningen | 4 | -4 | 5 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 58.8%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Cambuur had a probability of 20.42%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.52%) and 0-1 (8.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.42%), while for a Cambuur win it was 2-1 (5.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.
Result | ||
Cambuur | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
20.42% ( -0.02) | 20.78% ( -0.14) | 58.8% ( 0.16) |
Both teams to score 59.97% ( 0.47) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.86% ( 0.64) | 37.13% ( -0.64) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.66% ( 0.68) | 59.33% ( -0.69) |
Cambuur Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.46% ( 0.35) | 31.53% ( -0.35) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.07% ( 0.4) | 67.92% ( -0.4) |
AZ Alkmaar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.59% ( 0.25) | 12.4% ( -0.25) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.7% ( 0.51) | 38.29% ( -0.52) |
Score Analysis |
Cambuur | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
2-1 @ 5.44% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 4.51% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 2.61% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.18% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 2.09% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 1% ( -0) Other @ 2.59% Total : 20.42% | 1-1 @ 9.42% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 5.67% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 3.91% ( -0.12) 3-3 @ 1.52% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.25% Total : 20.78% | 1-2 @ 9.83% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 8.52% ( -0.1) 0-1 @ 8.16% ( -0.18) 1-3 @ 6.84% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 5.93% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.95% ( 0.07) 1-4 @ 3.57% ( 0.06) 0-4 @ 3.09% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 2.06% ( 0.05) 1-5 @ 1.49% ( 0.04) 0-5 @ 1.29% ( 0.02) Other @ 4.07% Total : 58.8% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 9 | 31 | 33 |
2 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 28 |
3 | Ajax | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 26 |
4 | Feyenoord | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 28 | 13 | 15 | 25 |
5 | FC Twente | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 22 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
7 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 17 |
8 | NECNijmegen | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 16 |
9 | Willem II | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 15 |
10 | Go Ahead Eagles | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 15 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 15 |
12 | Heerenveen | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 14 |
13 | Groningen | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 12 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
15 | Heracles | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 12 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 11 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 27 | -21 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 | 31 | -21 | 4 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |