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Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
4 | FC Twente | 4 | 7 | 9 |
5 | AZ Alkmaar | 3 | 4 | 9 |
6 | Heerenveen | 4 | 5 | 8 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
8 | Groningen | 4 | -4 | 5 |
9 | NEC | 3 | 2 | 4 |
10 | Cambuur | 4 | 0 | 4 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 76.46%. A draw had a probability of 14.7% and a win for NEC had a probability of 8.82%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.05%) and 1-0 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.93%), while for a NEC win it was 0-1 (2.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
AZ Alkmaar | Draw | NEC |
76.46% ( 0.17) | 14.73% ( -0.14) | 8.82% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 49.67% ( 0.45) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.24% ( 0.62) | 34.76% ( -0.61) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.28% ( 0.69) | 56.72% ( -0.68) |
AZ Alkmaar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.49% ( 0.18) | 7.51% ( -0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
73.06% ( 0.45) | 26.94% ( -0.45) |
NEC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
53.7% ( 0.38) | 46.3% ( -0.38) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.05% ( 0.29) | 81.95% ( -0.29) |
Score Analysis |
AZ Alkmaar | Draw | NEC |
2-0 @ 11.65% ( -0.15) 3-0 @ 10.05% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 9% ( -0.2) 2-1 @ 8.97% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 7.74% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 6.51% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 5.01% ( 0.08) 5-0 @ 3.37% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.98% ( 0.05) 5-1 @ 2.6% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 1.93% ( 0.05) 6-0 @ 1.46% ( 0.03) 6-1 @ 1.12% ( 0.04) 5-2 @ 1% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.05% Total : 76.45% | 1-1 @ 6.93% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 3.48% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 3.45% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.87% Total : 14.73% | 0-1 @ 2.68% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 2.67% ( -0) 0-2 @ 1.03% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.44% Total : 8.82% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 9 | 31 | 33 |
2 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 28 |
3 | Ajax | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 26 |
4 | Feyenoord | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 28 | 13 | 15 | 25 |
5 | FC Twente | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 22 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
7 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 17 |
8 | NECNijmegen | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 16 |
9 | Willem II | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 15 |
10 | Go Ahead Eagles | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 15 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 15 |
12 | Heerenveen | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 14 |
13 | Groningen | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 12 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
15 | Heracles | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 12 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 11 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 27 | -21 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 | 31 | -21 | 4 |
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