Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 43.21%. A win for Feyenoord had a probability of 33.4% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.12%) and 2-0 (6.06%). The likeliest Feyenoord win was 1-2 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.48%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.
