Eredivisie | Gameweek 22

Feb 14, 2021 at 11.15am UK

AFAS Stadion, Alkmaar

AZ
3 - 1
Heerenveen

Stengs (20'), Koopmeiners (47' pen.), Gudmundsson (81')
Hatzidiakos (60')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Schone (54')
Paul van Hecke (46'), Kongolo (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between AZ Alkmaar and Heerenveen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 58.03%. A win for Heerenveen had a probability of 21.13% and a draw had a probability of 20.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.23%) and 1-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Heerenveen win was 1-2 (5.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.

Result
AZ Alkmaar	Draw	Heerenveen
58.03%	20.84%	21.13%

Both teams to score 60.92%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.58%

36.42%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.44%

58.56%

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.61%

12.4%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.72%

38.28%

Heerenveen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.54%

30.46%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.33%

66.67%

Score Analysis

AZ Alkmaar 58.03%

Heerenveen 21.13%

Draw 20.84%

AZ Alkmaar	Draw	Heerenveen
2-1 @ 9.78% 2-0 @ 8.23% 1-0 @ 7.89% 3-1 @ 6.81% 3-0 @ 5.73% 3-2 @ 4.05% 4-1 @ 3.55% 4-0 @ 2.99% 4-2 @ 2.11% 5-1 @ 1.48% 5-0 @ 1.25% Other @ 4.16% Total : 58.03%	1-1 @ 9.37% 2-2 @ 5.82% 0-0 @ 3.78% 3-3 @ 1.6% Other @ 0.28% Total : 20.84%	1-2 @ 5.57% 0-1 @ 4.49% 0-2 @ 2.67% 2-3 @ 2.3% 1-3 @ 2.21% 0-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.84% Total : 21.13%