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Fortuna Sittard
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Waalwijk logo
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Willem II
Waalwijk logo
Eredivisie | Gameweek 11
Oct 22, 2022 at 5.45pm UK
Mandemakers Stadion
Ajax

RKC Waalwijk
1 - 4
Ajax

Clement (40')
Gaari (2'), Oukili (18'), Adewoye (58')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Berghuis (22', 53'), Brobbey (62', 81')
Blind (43'), Grillitsch (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between RKC Waalwijk and Ajax, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sittard 0-0 RKC Waalwijk
Saturday, October 15 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Ajax 7-1 Excelsior
Sunday, October 16 at 7pm in Eredivisie

We said: RKC Waalwijk 1-3 Ajax

Ajax served up a reminder of how ruthless they can be in front of goal last time out, and while we do not expect them to put up similar numbers in this one, we are tipping them to cruise to a comfortable victory come the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 66.82%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 15.65%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.19%) and 1-3 (7.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.51%), while for a RKC Waalwijk win it was 2-1 (4.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.

Result
RKC WaalwijkDrawAjax
15.65% (1.831 1.83) 17.53% (1.515 1.52) 66.82% (-3.347 -3.35)
Both teams to score 62.5% (-1.246 -1.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.37% (-3.553 -3.55)29.62% (3.551 3.55)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
49.26% (-4.432 -4.43)50.73% (4.431 4.43)
RKC Waalwijk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.12% (-0.203 -0.2)31.87% (0.203 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.68% (-0.235 -0.24)68.32% (0.23399999999999 0.23)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.74% (-1.55 -1.55)8.26% (1.549 1.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.14% (-4.02 -4.02)28.86% (4.02 4.02)
Score Analysis
    RKC Waalwijk 15.65%
    Ajax 66.82%
    Draw 17.53%
RKC WaalwijkDrawAjax
2-1 @ 4.29% (0.497 0.5)
1-0 @ 3.01% (0.566 0.57)
3-2 @ 2.04% (0.075 0.08)
2-0 @ 1.72% (0.316 0.32)
3-1 @ 1.64% (0.181 0.18)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 15.65%
1-1 @ 7.51% (0.906 0.91)
2-2 @ 5.35% (0.225 0.23)
0-0 @ 2.63% (0.508 0.51)
3-3 @ 1.7% (-0.073 -0.07)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 17.53%
1-2 @ 9.36% (0.443 0.44)
0-2 @ 8.19% (0.431 0.43)
1-3 @ 7.78% (-0.248 -0.25)
0-3 @ 6.8% (-0.179 -0.18)
0-1 @ 6.57% (0.824 0.82)
1-4 @ 4.85% (-0.572 -0.57)
2-3 @ 4.45% (-0.168 -0.17)
0-4 @ 4.24% (-0.474 -0.47)
2-4 @ 2.77% (-0.345 -0.35)
1-5 @ 2.42% (-0.511 -0.51)
0-5 @ 2.12% (-0.432 -0.43)
2-5 @ 1.38% (-0.301 -0.3)
3-4 @ 1.06% (-0.138 -0.14)
1-6 @ 1.01% (-0.313 -0.31)
Other @ 3.83%
Total : 66.82%

How you voted: RKC Waalwijk vs Ajax

RKC Waalwijk
8.3%
Draw
8.3%
Ajax
83.3%
60
Head to Head
Mar 6, 2022 3.45pm
Ajax
3-2
RKC Waalwijk
Haller (33', 37'), Tadic (90' pen.)
Martinez (15'), Rensch (53'), Tadic (90+3')
Kramer (50'), Van der Venne (57')
Anita (90+2')
Nov 21, 2021 3.45pm
RKC Waalwijk
0-5
Ajax

Gaari (85')
Haller (17', 83'), Berghuis (42', 57'), Maduro (74')
Apr 11, 2021 3.45pm
Sep 20, 2020 3.45pm
Ajax
3-0
RKC Waalwijk
Tadic (10'), Labyad (34'), Martinez (73')
Kudus (29')

Wouters (68')
Feb 16, 2020 1.30pm
Ajax
3-0
RKC Waalwijk
Tadic (13' pen.), Traore (52'), Huntelaar (90')
Eiting (50')

Meulensteen (76'), Gaari (78')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV1211014093133
2FC UtrechtUtrecht119112011928
3Ajax1182125111426
4Feyenoord1274128131525
5FC Twente1264224111322
6AZ AlkmaarAZ125252314917
7Fortuna SittardSittard125251316-317
8NECNijmegen125161910916
9Willem II124351312115
10Go Ahead Eagles124351520-515
11NAC BredaNAC Breda125071221-915
12Heerenveen124261323-1014
13Groningen123361219-712
14PEC Zwolle123361422-812
15Heracles123361223-1112
16Sparta RotterdamSparta122551218-611
17Almere CityAlmere City12138627-216
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1211101031-214


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