MX23RW : Wednesday, December 18 09:00:40| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Waalwijk logo
Eredivisie | Gameweek 11
Oct 22, 2022 at 5.45pm UK
Mandemakers Stadion
Ajax

RKC Waalwijk
1 - 4
Ajax

Clement (40')
Gaari (2'), Oukili (18'), Adewoye (58')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Berghuis (22', 53'), Brobbey (62', 81')
Blind (43'), Grillitsch (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between RKC Waalwijk and Ajax, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sittard 0-0 RKC Waalwijk
Saturday, October 15 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Ajax 7-1 Excelsior
Sunday, October 16 at 7pm in Eredivisie

We said: RKC Waalwijk 1-3 Ajax

Ajax served up a reminder of how ruthless they can be in front of goal last time out, and while we do not expect them to put up similar numbers in this one, we are tipping them to cruise to a comfortable victory come the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 66.82%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 15.65%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.19%) and 1-3 (7.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.51%), while for a RKC Waalwijk win it was 2-1 (4.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.

Result
RKC WaalwijkDrawAjax
15.65% (1.831 1.83) 17.53% (1.515 1.52) 66.82% (-3.347 -3.35)
Both teams to score 62.5% (-1.246 -1.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.37% (-3.553 -3.55)29.62% (3.551 3.55)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
49.26% (-4.432 -4.43)50.73% (4.431 4.43)
RKC Waalwijk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.12% (-0.203 -0.2)31.87% (0.203 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.68% (-0.235 -0.24)68.32% (0.23399999999999 0.23)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.74% (-1.55 -1.55)8.26% (1.549 1.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.14% (-4.02 -4.02)28.86% (4.02 4.02)
Score Analysis
    RKC Waalwijk 15.65%
    Ajax 66.82%
    Draw 17.53%
RKC WaalwijkDrawAjax
2-1 @ 4.29% (0.497 0.5)
1-0 @ 3.01% (0.566 0.57)
3-2 @ 2.04% (0.075 0.08)
2-0 @ 1.72% (0.316 0.32)
3-1 @ 1.64% (0.181 0.18)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 15.65%
1-1 @ 7.51% (0.906 0.91)
2-2 @ 5.35% (0.225 0.23)
0-0 @ 2.63% (0.508 0.51)
3-3 @ 1.7% (-0.073 -0.07)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 17.53%
1-2 @ 9.36% (0.443 0.44)
0-2 @ 8.19% (0.431 0.43)
1-3 @ 7.78% (-0.248 -0.25)
0-3 @ 6.8% (-0.179 -0.18)
0-1 @ 6.57% (0.824 0.82)
1-4 @ 4.85% (-0.572 -0.57)
2-3 @ 4.45% (-0.168 -0.17)
0-4 @ 4.24% (-0.474 -0.47)
2-4 @ 2.77% (-0.345 -0.35)
1-5 @ 2.42% (-0.511 -0.51)
0-5 @ 2.12% (-0.432 -0.43)
2-5 @ 1.38% (-0.301 -0.3)
3-4 @ 1.06% (-0.138 -0.14)
1-6 @ 1.01% (-0.313 -0.31)
Other @ 3.83%
Total : 66.82%

How you voted: RKC Waalwijk vs Ajax

RKC Waalwijk
8.3%
Draw
8.3%
Ajax
83.3%
60
Head to Head
Mar 6, 2022 3.45pm
Ajax
3-2
RKC Waalwijk
Haller (33', 37'), Tadic (90' pen.)
Martinez (15'), Rensch (53'), Tadic (90+3')
Kramer (50'), Van der Venne (57')
Anita (90+2')
Nov 21, 2021 3.45pm
RKC Waalwijk
0-5
Ajax

Gaari (85')
Haller (17', 83'), Berghuis (42', 57'), Maduro (74')
Apr 11, 2021 3.45pm
Sep 20, 2020 3.45pm
Ajax
3-0
RKC Waalwijk
Tadic (10'), Labyad (34'), Martinez (73')
Kudus (29')

Wouters (68')
Feb 16, 2020 1.30pm
Ajax
3-0
RKC Waalwijk
Tadic (13' pen.), Traore (52'), Huntelaar (90')
Eiting (50')

Meulensteen (76'), Gaari (78')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV16140256134342
2Ajax16113235161936
3FC UtrechtUtrecht1611323223936
4Feyenoord16105140182235
5FC Twente1694332201231
6AZ AlkmaarAZ1692530171329
7Go Ahead Eagles166462826222
8Fortuna SittardSittard166462023-322
9NAC BredaNAC Breda167181825-722
10Heerenveen166371728-1121
11Willem II165471718-119
12NECNijmegen165292220217
13PEC Zwolle164481525-1016
14Groningen164481426-1216
15Heracles163581833-1514
16Sparta RotterdamSparta162681424-1012
17RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1613121740-236
18Almere CityAlmere City161312737-306


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