MX23RW : Friday, January 17 23:35:00| >> :600:1131713:1131713:
Fiorentina logo
Conference League | Playoffs | 1st Leg
Aug 18, 2022 at 8pm UK
Stadio Artemio Franchi
FC Twente logo

Fiorentina
2 - 1
FC Twente

Gonzalez (2'), Cabral (31')
Milenkovic (39'), Amrabat (90+1'), Maleh (90+5')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Cerny (65')
Smal (33'), Propper (55'), Vlap (62'), Cerny (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Fiorentina and FC Twente, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Fiorentina 2-1 FC Twente

Both sides clearly know the way to goal - Twente have already scored 11 times in four competitive games; Fiorentina netted three in their first match at the weekend - so this could be an open encounter. The hosts should have enough nous, though, to take a one-goal lead to the Netherlands next week. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 45.48%. A win for FC Twente had a probability of 31.85% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-1 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.63%) and 2-0 (6.03%). The likeliest FC Twente win was 1-2 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Fiorentina in this match.

Result
FiorentinaDrawFC Twente
45.48% (0.142 0.14) 22.68% (0.059999999999999 0.06) 31.85% (-0.198 -0.2)
Both teams to score 64.95% (-0.324 -0.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.28% (-0.38499999999999 -0.38)35.72% (0.386 0.39)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.21% (-0.42599999999999 -0.43)57.79% (0.43 0.43)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.77% (-0.093999999999994 -0.09)16.23% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.26% (-0.177 -0.18)45.74% (0.179 0.18)
FC Twente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.53% (-0.29599999999999 -0.3)22.47% (0.298 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.98% (-0.446 -0.45)56.02% (0.448 0.45)
Score Analysis
    Fiorentina 45.48%
    FC Twente 31.85%
    Draw 22.68%
FiorentinaDrawFC Twente
2-1 @ 9% (0.035 0.04)
1-0 @ 6.63% (0.106 0.11)
2-0 @ 6.03% (0.077 0.08)
3-1 @ 5.46% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 4.07% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-0 @ 3.65% (0.034 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.48% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.85% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.66% (0.01 0.01)
4-3 @ 0.92% (-0.02 -0.02)
5-1 @ 0.9% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 45.48%
1-1 @ 9.9% (0.071 0.07)
2-2 @ 6.72% (-0.034 -0.03)
0-0 @ 3.65% (0.07 0.07)
3-3 @ 2.03% (-0.035 -0.03)
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 22.68%
1-2 @ 7.39% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-1 @ 5.45% (0.057 0.06)
0-2 @ 4.06% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.68% (-0.039 -0.04)
2-3 @ 3.34% (-0.047 -0.05)
0-3 @ 2.02% (-0.015 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.37% (-0.027 -0.03)
2-4 @ 1.25% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 31.85%

How you voted: Fiorentina vs FC Twente

Fiorentina
69.6%
Draw
9.8%
FC Twente
20.5%
112
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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1Liverpool20145148202847
2Arsenal21127241192243
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest21125430201041
4Newcastle UnitedNewcastle21115537221538
5Chelsea21107441261537
6Manchester CityMan City2110563829935
7Aston Villa2110563132-135
8Bournemouth219753225734
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2171043229331
10Fulham217953230230
11Brentford218494037328
12Manchester UnitedMan Utd217592629-326
13West Ham UnitedWest Ham217592741-1426
14Tottenham HotspurSpurs21731143321124
15Crystal Palace215972328-524
16Everton203891526-1117
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2144133148-1716
18Ipswich TownIpswich2137112037-1716
19Leicester CityLeicester2135132346-2314
20Southampton2113171347-346


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