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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 72.56%. A draw had a probability of 16.4% and a win for Heracles had a probability of 10.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 1-0 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.7%), while for a Heracles win it was 1-2 (3.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Utrecht would win this match.
Result | ||
FC Utrecht | Draw | Heracles |
72.56% ( -0.05) | 16.45% ( 0.02) | 10.99% ( 0.03) |
Both teams to score 52.03% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.79% ( -0.03) | 36.21% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.67% ( -0.04) | 58.33% ( 0.04) |
FC Utrecht Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.31% ( -0.02) | 8.69% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
70.09% ( -0.05) | 29.91% ( 0.05) |
Heracles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.98% ( 0.03) | 43.02% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.69% ( 0.02) | 79.31% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
FC Utrecht | Draw | Heracles |
2-0 @ 11.15% 2-1 @ 9.41% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.13% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 9.09% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 7.66% ( -0) 4-0 @ 5.55% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 4.68% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.23% ( 0) 5-0 @ 2.71% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 2.29% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.97% ( -0) 6-0 @ 1.1% ( -0) 5-2 @ 0.97% ( -0) 6-1 @ 0.93% ( -0) Other @ 2.68% Total : 72.55% | 1-1 @ 7.7% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 3.97% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.74% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 16.45% | 1-2 @ 3.25% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 3.15% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 1.33% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.12% ( 0) 1-3 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 1.24% Total : 10.99% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 15 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 56 | 12 | 44 | 42 |
2 | Ajax | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 31 | 14 | 17 | 33 |
3 | Feyenoord | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 35 | 16 | 19 | 32 |
4 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 32 |
5 | FC Twente | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 28 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 26 | 15 | 11 | 23 |
7 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 22 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 21 |
9 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 18 |
10 | NECNijmegen | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 16 |
11 | Willem II | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 16 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 15 |
13 | Groningen | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 15 |
14 | Heerenveen | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 15 |
15 | Heracles | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 13 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 11 |
17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 15 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 15 | 37 | -22 | 6 |
18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 14 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 6 | 31 | -25 | 6 |
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