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AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
FC Utrecht
Eredivisie | Gameweek 8
Oct 5, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stadion Galgenwaard
Waalwijk logo

Utrecht
3 - 2
RKC Waalwijk

Viergever (28'), Aaronson (51'), Min (52')
Ohio (85')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Cleonise (2'), Margaret (80' pen.)
Meijers (26')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between FC Utrecht and RKC Waalwijk, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: AZ 1-2 Utrecht
Sunday, September 29 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: RKC Waalwijk 0-2 Ajax
Sunday, September 29 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie

We said: FC Utrecht 2-0 RKC Waalwijk

Both these sides have completely contrasting records this season, and with seven losses in a row, it is difficult to make much of a case for RKC Waalwijk in this one. Utrecht have picked up four wins on the bounce ahead of this match and we feel they will extend that record with another victory on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 68.39%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 13.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.69%) and 1-0 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.28%), while for a RKC Waalwijk win it was 1-2 (3.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Utrecht would win this match.

Result
FC UtrechtDrawRKC Waalwijk
68.39% (0.079999999999998 0.08) 17.91% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02) 13.7% (-0.058 -0.06)
Both teams to score 55.46% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.91% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)36.09% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.8% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)58.2% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
FC Utrecht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.38% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)9.62% (-0.0078999999999994 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.86% (0.021999999999991 0.02)32.14% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)
RKC Waalwijk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.36% (-0.104 -0.1)38.64% (0.106 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.62% (-0.099999999999998 -0.1)75.38% (0.10299999999999 0.1)
Score Analysis
    FC Utrecht 68.38%
    RKC Waalwijk 13.7%
    Draw 17.91%
FC UtrechtDrawRKC Waalwijk
2-0 @ 10.18% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.69% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
1-0 @ 8.7% (0.019 0.02)
3-0 @ 7.95% (0.024 0.02)
3-1 @ 7.56% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-0 @ 4.66% (0.016 0.02)
4-1 @ 4.43% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 3.6% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
5-0 @ 2.18% (0.008 0.01)
4-2 @ 2.11% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
5-1 @ 2.07% (0.0019999999999998 0)
5-2 @ 0.99% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 4.28%
Total : 68.38%
1-1 @ 8.28% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
2-2 @ 4.61% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 3.72% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.14% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 17.91%
1-2 @ 3.93% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-1 @ 3.53% (-0.004 -0)
0-2 @ 1.68% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.46% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.25% (-0.0079999999999998 -0.01)
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 13.7%

How you voted: Utrecht vs RKC Waalwijk

FC Utrecht
94.9%
Draw
2.6%
RKC Waalwijk
2.6%
39
Head to Head
Apr 28, 2024 1.30pm
Gameweek 31
RKC Waalwijk
2-2
Utrecht
Min (26'), Margaret (66')
Min (65')
Bozdogan (61'), Lammers (84')
Elkarouani (59'), Bozdogan (69')
Dec 16, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 16
Utrecht
1-1
RKC Waalwijk
Jensen (28')
Kramer (45' pen.)
Oukili (58'), Adewoye (63'), Felida (90+1'), Lokesa (90+5')
May 13, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 32
Utrecht
2-0
RKC Waalwijk
Douvikas (60'), Labyad (90+3')
Toornstra (65')

Adewoye (18'), Gaari (54')
Aug 6, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 1
RKC Waalwijk
2-2
Utrecht
Van den Buijs (15'), Bel Hassani (45')
Oukili (79')
Dost (52', 85')
Apr 2, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 25
RKC Waalwijk
1-1
Utrecht
Kramer (90+1')
Maduro (34')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV1312014593636
2Feyenoord1384131131828
3FC UtrechtUtrecht119112011928
4Ajax1182125111426
5FC Twente1374226121425
6Go Ahead Eagles135351820-218
7AZ AlkmaarAZ125252314917
8Fortuna SittardSittard135261418-417
9NECNijmegen125161910916
10Willem II124351312115
11NAC BredaNAC Breda125071221-915
12Heerenveen134271326-1314
13Heracles133461425-1113
14PEC Zwolle123361422-812
15Groningen133371224-1212
16Sparta RotterdamSparta122551218-611
17Almere CityAlmere City13139630-246
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1312101233-215


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