We said: FC Utrecht 2-0 Heracles
After suffering a slump in form in recent weeks, Utrecht will be looking to return to winning ways and strengthen their position in the top half of the table. The visitors have performed poorly away from home, where they still await their first win of the season, and we predict the hosts will take advantage of their home crowd support and come away with all three points.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 59.08%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Heracles had a probability of 19.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.6%) and 2-0 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.04%), while for a Heracles win it was 1-2 (5.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Utrecht would win this match.