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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Go Ahead Eagles win with a probability of 70.45%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for FC Volendam had a probability of 12.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Go Ahead Eagles win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.59%) and 0-1 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.1%), while for a FC Volendam win it was 2-1 (3.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Go Ahead Eagles in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Go Ahead Eagles.
Result | ||
FC Volendam | Draw | Go Ahead Eagles |
12.22% ( -1.92) | 17.32% ( -0.72) | 70.45% ( 2.64) |
Both teams to score 53.03% ( -3.22) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.98% ( -1.35) | 37.02% ( 1.35) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.79% ( -1.47) | 59.21% ( 1.47) |
FC Volendam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.52% ( -3.73) | 41.48% ( 3.73) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.02% ( -3.46) | 77.98% ( 3.46) |
Go Ahead Eagles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.62% ( 0.27) | 9.38% ( -0.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
68.43% ( 0.63) | 31.57% ( -0.63) |
Score Analysis |
FC Volendam | Draw | Go Ahead Eagles |
2-1 @ 3.56% ( -0.48) 1-0 @ 3.42% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 1.51% ( -0.22) 3-2 @ 1.24% ( -0.3) 3-1 @ 1.05% ( -0.27) Other @ 1.45% Total : 12.22% | 1-1 @ 8.1% ( -0.19) 2-2 @ 4.22% ( -0.51) 0-0 @ 3.89% ( 0.25) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.22) Other @ 0.14% Total : 17.32% | 0-2 @ 10.89% ( 0.93) 1-2 @ 9.59% ( -0.11) 0-1 @ 9.21% ( 0.69) 0-3 @ 8.6% ( 0.83) 1-3 @ 7.57% ( 0) 0-4 @ 5.09% ( 0.55) 1-4 @ 4.48% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 3.33% ( -0.36) 0-5 @ 2.41% ( 0.29) 1-5 @ 2.12% ( 0.05) 2-4 @ 1.97% ( -0.19) 0-6 @ 0.95% ( 0.12) 2-5 @ 0.93% ( -0.08) Other @ 3.33% Total : 70.45% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 16 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 56 | 13 | 43 | 42 |
2 | Ajax | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 35 | 16 | 19 | 36 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 23 | 9 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 40 | 18 | 22 | 35 |
5 | FC Twente | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 32 | 20 | 12 | 31 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 30 | 17 | 13 | 29 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 22 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 22 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 16 | 7 | 1 | 8 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 22 |
10 | Heerenveen | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 21 |
11 | Willem II | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 19 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 12 |
17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 17 | 40 | -23 | 6 |
18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 7 | 37 | -30 | 6 |
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