Eredivisie | Gameweek 33

May 12, 2024 at 1.30pm UK

De Adelaarshorst

Go Ahead Eagles
0 - 3
AZ

FT(HT: 0-2)

Sadiq (39'), Mijnans (45+3'), van Brederode (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Go Ahead Eagles and AZ Alkmaar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Go Ahead Eagles

All competitions

Last Game: Sittard 0-0 Go Ahead Eagles
Friday, May 3 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

AZ Alkmaar

All competitions

Last Game: AZ 2-1 FC Twente
Sunday, May 5 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Go Ahead Eagles 1-2 AZ Alkmaar

Go Ahead Eagles have hit a poor patch of form at the wrong time in the season, and turning that around in a game of this magnitude will be tough. AZ Alkmaar are looking to earn a third-place finish and given their recent strong form there is a good chance they will go one step closer this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 43.94%. A win for Go Ahead Eagles had a probability of 32.95% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.9%) and 0-2 (6.02%). The likeliest Go Ahead Eagles win was 2-1 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.

Result
Go Ahead Eagles	Draw	AZ Alkmaar
32.95% ( 0.18)	23.11% ( 0.06)	43.94% ( -0.23)

Both teams to score 63.84% (

-0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.63% (

-0.22)

37.37% (

0.22)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.41% (

-0.23)

59.59% (

0.23)

Go Ahead Eagles Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.36% (

-0)

22.64% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.73% (

-0.01)

56.27% (

0.01)

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.53% (

-0.18)

17.47% (

0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.04% (

-0.32)

47.96% (

0.31)

Score Analysis

Go Ahead Eagles 32.95%

AZ Alkmaar 43.94%

Draw 23.1%

Go Ahead Eagles	Draw	AZ Alkmaar
2-1 @ 7.61% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 5.88% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 4.37% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 3.77% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.29% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.16% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.4% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.22% ( -0) Other @ 3.26% Total : 32.95%	1-1 @ 10.25% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 6.64% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 3.96% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.34% Total : 23.1%	1-2 @ 8.94% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.9% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 6.02% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 5.2% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 3.86% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 3.5% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 2.27% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 1.68% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.53% ( -0.02) Other @ 4.04% Total : 43.94%