Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 61.09%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 18.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.65%) and 1-0 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.66%), while for a PEC Zwolle win it was 1-2 (4.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.