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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 44.71%. A win for AZ Alkmaar had a probability of 30.89% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.78%) and 2-0 (7.07%). The likeliest AZ Alkmaar win was 1-2 (7.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.
Result | ||
Feyenoord | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
44.71% | 24.4% | 30.89% |
Both teams to score 58.18% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.61% | 44.39% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.24% | 66.76% |
Feyenoord Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.01% | 19.99% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.83% | 52.17% |
AZ Alkmaar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.71% | 27.28% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.28% | 62.72% |
Score Analysis |
Feyenoord | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
2-1 @ 9.18% 1-0 @ 8.78% 2-0 @ 7.07% 3-1 @ 4.93% 3-0 @ 3.79% 3-2 @ 3.2% 4-1 @ 1.98% 4-0 @ 1.53% 4-2 @ 1.29% Other @ 2.96% Total : 44.71% | 1-1 @ 11.4% 2-2 @ 5.96% 0-0 @ 5.45% 3-3 @ 1.39% Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.4% | 1-2 @ 7.41% 0-1 @ 7.08% 0-2 @ 4.6% 1-3 @ 3.21% 2-3 @ 2.58% 0-3 @ 1.99% 1-4 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.98% Total : 30.89% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 4 | 21 | 21 |
2 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 16 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 16 |
4 | FC Twente | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 14 |
5 | Ajax | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 10 |
6 | Feyenoord | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 10 |
7 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 10 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 10 |
9 | Groningen | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 9 |
10 | Heracles | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 9 |
11 | Willem II | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 8 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 7 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 7 |
14 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 7 |
15 | Heerenveen | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 7 |
16 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 14 | -9 | 6 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 18 | -16 | 2 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 19 | -16 | 0 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |