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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 75.54%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 8.78%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.68%) and 3-0 (10.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.45%), while for a PEC Zwolle win it was 0-1 (3.08%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.
Result | ||
AZ Alkmaar | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
75.54% | 15.67% | 8.78% |
Both teams to score 45.77% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.35% | 39.65% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38% | 62% |
AZ Alkmaar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.15% | 8.85% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
69.68% | 30.32% |
PEC Zwolle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
50.22% | 49.78% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
15.49% | 84.5% |
Score Analysis |
AZ Alkmaar | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
2-0 @ 12.95% 1-0 @ 10.68% 3-0 @ 10.46% 2-1 @ 9.04% 3-1 @ 7.3% 4-0 @ 6.35% 4-1 @ 4.43% 5-0 @ 3.08% 3-2 @ 2.55% 5-1 @ 2.15% 4-2 @ 1.54% 6-0 @ 1.24% Other @ 3.76% Total : 75.52% | 1-1 @ 7.45% 0-0 @ 4.41% 2-2 @ 3.15% Other @ 0.66% Total : 15.67% | 0-1 @ 3.08% 1-2 @ 2.6% 0-2 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.04% Total : 8.78% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 9 | 31 | 33 |
2 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 28 |
3 | Ajax | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 26 |
4 | Feyenoord | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 28 | 13 | 15 | 25 |
5 | FC Twente | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 22 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
7 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 17 |
8 | NECNijmegen | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 16 |
9 | Willem II | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 15 |
10 | Go Ahead Eagles | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 15 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 15 |
12 | Heerenveen | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 14 |
13 | Groningen | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 12 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
15 | Heracles | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 12 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 11 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 27 | -21 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 | 31 | -21 | 4 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |