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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 48.15%. A win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 26% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.25%) and 2-0 (8.94%). The likeliest FC Utrecht win was 0-1 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.
Result | ||
AZ Alkmaar | Draw | FC Utrecht |
48.15% | 25.85% | 26% |
Both teams to score 50.18% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.68% | 53.32% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.13% | 74.87% |
AZ Alkmaar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.84% | 22.16% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.45% | 55.55% |
FC Utrecht Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.46% | 35.54% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.69% | 72.31% |
Score Analysis |
AZ Alkmaar | Draw | FC Utrecht |
1-0 @ 11.86% 2-1 @ 9.25% 2-0 @ 8.94% 3-1 @ 4.65% 3-0 @ 4.49% 3-2 @ 2.4% 4-1 @ 1.75% 4-0 @ 1.69% 4-2 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.2% Total : 48.14% | 1-1 @ 12.27% 0-0 @ 7.87% 2-2 @ 4.79% Other @ 0.92% Total : 25.84% | 0-1 @ 8.15% 1-2 @ 6.35% 0-2 @ 4.21% 1-3 @ 2.19% 2-3 @ 1.65% 0-3 @ 1.45% Other @ 2% Total : 26% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 4 | 21 | 21 |
2 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 16 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 16 |
4 | FC Twente | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 14 |
5 | Ajax | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 10 |
6 | Feyenoord | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 10 |
7 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 10 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 10 |
9 | Groningen | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 9 |
10 | Heracles | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 9 |
11 | Willem II | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 8 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 7 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 7 |
14 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 7 |
15 | Heerenveen | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 7 |
16 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 14 | -9 | 6 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 18 | -16 | 2 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 19 | -16 | 0 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |