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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 88.68%. A draw had a probability of 7.8% and a win for FC Volendam had a probability of 3.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (9.83%) and 2-0 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.57%), while for a FC Volendam win it was 1-2 (1.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.
Result | ||
Feyenoord | Draw | FC Volendam |
88.68% ( 0.36) | 7.78% ( -0.2) | 3.55% ( -0.16) |
Both teams to score 46.54% ( -0.55) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
78.47% ( 0.16) | 21.53% ( -0.15) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
59.75% ( 0.21) | 40.25% ( -0.21) |
Feyenoord Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
97.01% ( 0.08) | 2.99% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
86.5% ( 0.25) | 13.5% ( -0.24) |
FC Volendam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
47.98% ( -0.61) | 52.02% ( 0.61) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
13.98% ( -0.4) | 86.02% ( 0.41) |
Score Analysis |
Feyenoord | Draw | FC Volendam |
3-0 @ 11.21% ( 0.1) 4-0 @ 9.83% ( 0.15) 2-0 @ 9.59% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 7.33% ( -0.07) 5-0 @ 6.9% ( 0.15) 4-1 @ 6.43% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 6.27% ( -0.1) 1-0 @ 5.47% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 4.51% ( 0.02) 6-0 @ 4.04% ( 0.11) 6-1 @ 2.64% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.39% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 2.1% ( -0.04) 7-0 @ 2.02% ( 0.07) 5-2 @ 1.47% ( -0.02) 7-1 @ 1.32% ( 0.02) Other @ 5.16% Total : 88.67% | 1-1 @ 3.57% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 2.05% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 1.56% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.6% Total : 7.78% | 1-2 @ 1.17% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 1.02% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.36% Total : 3.55% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 9 | 31 | 33 |
2 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 28 |
3 | Ajax | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 26 |
4 | Feyenoord | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 28 | 13 | 15 | 25 |
5 | FC Twente | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 22 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
7 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 17 |
8 | NECNijmegen | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 16 |
9 | Willem II | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 15 |
10 | Go Ahead Eagles | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 15 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 15 |
12 | Heerenveen | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 14 |
13 | Groningen | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 12 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
15 | Heracles | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 12 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 11 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 27 | -21 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 | 31 | -21 | 4 |
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