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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 42.91%. A win for FC Volendam had a probability of 33.48% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.36%) and 0-2 (6.15%). The likeliest FC Volendam win was 2-1 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that FC Volendam would win this match.
Result | ||
FC Volendam | Draw | Groningen |
33.48% ( 0.07) | 23.61% ( 0.01) | 42.91% ( -0.08) |
Both teams to score 62.17% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.36% ( -0.04) | 39.64% ( 0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.01% ( -0.04) | 61.99% ( 0.04) |
FC Volendam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.58% ( 0.02) | 23.42% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.59% ( 0.03) | 57.41% ( -0.03) |
Groningen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.18% ( -0.05) | 18.81% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.75% ( -0.08) | 50.25% ( 0.08) |
Score Analysis |
FC Volendam | Draw | Groningen |
2-1 @ 7.76% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 6.4% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 4.64% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.75% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.14% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.25% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.36% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.14% ( 0) Other @ 3.05% Total : 33.48% | 1-1 @ 10.68% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.48% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.41% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.75% ( -0) Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.6% | 1-2 @ 8.92% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.36% ( 0) 0-2 @ 6.15% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.97% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.61% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.42% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 2.08% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.51% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.43% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.47% Total : 42.91% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 13 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 45 | 9 | 36 | 36 |
2 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 31 |
3 | Ajax | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 27 | 11 | 16 | 29 |
4 | Feyenoord | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 31 | 13 | 18 | 28 |
5 | FC Twente | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 25 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 20 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 18 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 17 |
9 | NECNijmegen | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 16 |
10 | Willem II | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 16 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 16 |
12 | Heerenveen | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 14 |
13 | Heracles | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 13 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 12 |
15 | Groningen | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 12 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 11 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 6 | 30 | -24 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 12 | 33 | -21 | 5 |
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