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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Sittard win with a probability of 46.61%. A win for Groningen had a probability of 28.54% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Sittard win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (7.86%). The likeliest Groningen win was 0-1 (7.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fortuna Sittard would win this match.
Result | ||
Fortuna Sittard | Draw | Groningen |
46.61% ( 0.02) | 24.85% ( -0) | 28.54% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 55.27% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.42% ( 0.01) | 47.58% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.22% ( 0.01) | 69.78% ( -0) |
Fortuna Sittard Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.53% ( 0.01) | 20.47% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.07% ( 0.02) | 52.93% ( -0.01) |
Groningen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.49% ( -0.01) | 30.51% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.27% ( -0.01) | 66.73% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Fortuna Sittard | Draw | Groningen |
1-0 @ 9.91% ( 0) 2-1 @ 9.33% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.86% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.93% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.16% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.93% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.96% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.65% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.16% Other @ 2.74% Total : 46.61% | 1-1 @ 11.75% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.24% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.54% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.16% Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.84% | 0-1 @ 7.41% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.98% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.4% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.76% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.19% 0-3 @ 1.74% ( -0) Other @ 3.06% Total : 28.54% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 4 | 21 | 21 |
2 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 16 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 16 |
4 | FC Twente | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 14 |
5 | Ajax | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 10 |
6 | Feyenoord | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 10 |
7 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 10 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 10 |
9 | Groningen | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 9 |
10 | Heracles | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 9 |
11 | Willem II | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 8 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 7 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 7 |
14 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 7 |
15 | Heerenveen | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 7 |
16 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 14 | -9 | 6 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 18 | -16 | 2 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 19 | -16 | 0 |
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