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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 58.01%. A win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 21.05% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.35%) and 0-1 (8.06%). The likeliest Fortuna Sittard win was 2-1 (5.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.
Result | ||
Fortuna Sittard | Draw | FC Twente |
21.05% (![]() | 20.94% | 58.01% (![]() |
Both teams to score 60.41% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.98% (![]() | 37.02% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.79% (![]() | 59.21% (![]() |
Fortuna Sittard Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.11% (![]() | 30.89% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.82% (![]() | 67.18% (![]() |
FC Twente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.41% (![]() | 12.59% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.31% (![]() | 38.69% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Fortuna Sittard | Draw | FC Twente |
2-1 @ 5.56% (![]() 1-0 @ 4.57% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 2.69% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.26% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 2.18% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.75% Total : 21.05% | 1-1 @ 9.47% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.76% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 3.89% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.56% ( ![]() Other @ 0.26% Total : 20.94% | 1-2 @ 9.81% (![]() 0-2 @ 8.35% ( ![]() 0-1 @ 8.06% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 6.78% 0-3 @ 5.77% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.98% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 3.51% 0-4 @ 2.99% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 2.06% ( ![]() 1-5 @ 1.45% 0-5 @ 1.24% Other @ 4.02% Total : 58.01% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |