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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 39.56%. A win for Heerenveen had a probability of 35.41% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.56%) and 2-0 (6.28%). The likeliest Heerenveen win was 1-2 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Heerenveen would win this match.
Result | ||
Groningen | Draw | Heerenveen |
39.56% ( 0.01) | 25.04% ( -0.09) | 35.41% ( 0.08) |
Both teams to score 57.48% ( 0.34) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.04% ( 0.43) | 45.96% ( -0.42) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.74% ( 0.41) | 68.27% ( -0.4) |
Groningen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.94% ( 0.2) | 23.06% ( -0.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.11% ( 0.29) | 56.89% ( -0.28) |
Heerenveen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.71% ( 0.25) | 25.29% ( -0.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.94% ( 0.34) | 60.06% ( -0.33) |
Score Analysis |
Groningen | Draw | Heerenveen |
2-1 @ 8.63% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.56% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 6.28% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 4.22% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 3.07% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.9% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.55% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.13% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.06% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.17% Total : 39.56% | 1-1 @ 11.76% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.93% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 5.83% ( -0.11) 3-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.03% | 1-2 @ 8.09% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 8.02% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 5.51% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.71% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.72% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 2.53% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.27% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.64% Total : 35.41% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 9 | 31 | 33 |
2 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 28 |
3 | Ajax | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 26 |
4 | Feyenoord | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 28 | 13 | 15 | 25 |
5 | FC Twente | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 22 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
7 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 17 |
8 | NECNijmegen | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 16 |
9 | Willem II | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 15 |
10 | Go Ahead Eagles | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 15 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 15 |
12 | Heerenveen | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 14 |
13 | Groningen | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 12 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
15 | Heracles | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 12 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 11 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 27 | -21 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 | 31 | -21 | 4 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |