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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 48.71%. A win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 27.29% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.35%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Fortuna Sittard win was 1-2 (6.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Groningen | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
48.71% ( 0.64) | 24.01% ( -0.2) | 27.29% ( -0.44) |
Both teams to score 57.11% ( 0.32) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.28% ( 0.59) | 44.72% ( -0.59) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.92% ( 0.56) | 67.08% ( -0.57) |
Groningen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.53% ( 0.48) | 18.47% ( -0.49) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.34% ( 0.81) | 49.66% ( -0.81) |
Fortuna Sittard Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.04% ( -0.02) | 29.96% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.93% ( -0.02) | 66.07% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Groningen | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
2-1 @ 9.51% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 9.35% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 7.89% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 5.36% ( 0.11) 3-0 @ 4.44% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 3.23% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 2.26% ( 0.08) 4-0 @ 1.88% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 1.36% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.42% Total : 48.71% | 1-1 @ 11.26% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 5.73% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.53% ( -0.14) 3-3 @ 1.3% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24% | 1-2 @ 6.79% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 6.67% ( -0.18) 0-2 @ 4.02% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 2.73% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.3% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.16% Total : 27.29% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 9 | 31 | 33 |
2 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 28 |
3 | Ajax | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 26 |
4 | Feyenoord | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 28 | 13 | 15 | 25 |
5 | FC Twente | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 22 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
7 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 17 |
8 | NECNijmegen | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 16 |
9 | Willem II | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 15 |
10 | Go Ahead Eagles | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 15 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 15 |
12 | Heerenveen | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 14 |
13 | Groningen | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 12 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
15 | Heracles | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 12 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 11 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 27 | -21 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 | 31 | -21 | 4 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |