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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 48.71%. A win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 27.29% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.35%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Fortuna Sittard win was 1-2 (6.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Groningen | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
48.71% ( 0.64) | 24.01% ( -0.2) | 27.29% ( -0.44) |
Both teams to score 57.11% ( 0.32) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.28% ( 0.59) | 44.72% ( -0.59) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.92% ( 0.56) | 67.08% ( -0.57) |
Groningen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.53% ( 0.48) | 18.47% ( -0.49) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.34% ( 0.81) | 49.66% ( -0.81) |
Fortuna Sittard Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.04% ( -0.02) | 29.96% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.93% ( -0.02) | 66.07% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Groningen | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
2-1 @ 9.51% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 9.35% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 7.89% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 5.36% ( 0.11) 3-0 @ 4.44% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 3.23% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 2.26% ( 0.08) 4-0 @ 1.88% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 1.36% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.42% Total : 48.71% | 1-1 @ 11.26% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 5.73% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.53% ( -0.14) 3-3 @ 1.3% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24% | 1-2 @ 6.79% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 6.67% ( -0.18) 0-2 @ 4.02% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 2.73% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.3% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.16% Total : 27.29% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 16 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 56 | 13 | 43 | 42 |
2 | Ajax | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 35 | 16 | 19 | 36 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 23 | 9 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 40 | 18 | 22 | 35 |
5 | FC Twente | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 32 | 20 | 12 | 31 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 30 | 17 | 13 | 29 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 22 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 22 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 16 | 7 | 1 | 8 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 22 |
10 | Heerenveen | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 21 |
11 | Willem II | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 19 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 12 |
17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 17 | 40 | -23 | 6 |
18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 7 | 37 | -30 | 6 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |