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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Sittard win with a probability of 41.89%. A win for Groningen had a probability of 33.33% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Sittard win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.66%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest Groningen win was 1-2 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fortuna Sittard would win this match.
Result | ||
Fortuna Sittard | Draw | Groningen |
41.89% ( -0.19) | 24.78% ( 0.05) | 33.33% ( 0.14) |
Both teams to score 57.9% ( -0.14) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.79% ( -0.2) | 45.21% ( 0.2) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.45% ( -0.19) | 67.55% ( 0.19) |
Fortuna Sittard Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.4% ( -0.17) | 21.6% ( 0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.3% ( -0.26) | 54.7% ( 0.27) |
Groningen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.85% ( -0.01) | 26.15% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.77% ( -0.02) | 61.23% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Fortuna Sittard | Draw | Groningen |
2-1 @ 8.9% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 8.66% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 6.63% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.55% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 3.39% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.05% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.74% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.3% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.17% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.52% Total : 41.9% | 1-1 @ 11.61% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.97% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.65% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.78% | 1-2 @ 7.79% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 7.58% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 5.08% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 3.48% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.67% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.27% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.17% ( 0) Other @ 3.3% Total : 33.33% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 17 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 59 | 13 | 46 | 45 |
2 | Ajax | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 39 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 35 |
5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 32 |
6 | FC Twente | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 31 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 25 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 25 |
9 | Willem II | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 22 |
10 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 22 |
11 | Heerenveen | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 21 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 24 | -1 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 12 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 9 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 17 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 7 |
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