MX23RW : Wednesday, December 18 12:07:26| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Ajax
Eredivisie | Gameweek 3
Sep 18, 2024 at 7pm UK
Amsterdam ArenA
Fortuna Sittard

Ajax
5 - 0
Sittard

Taylor (9'), Traore (24'), Baas (58'), Rensch (71'), Akpom (87')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Peterson (35')
Guth (45+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Eredivisie clash between Ajax and Fortuna Sittard, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ajax 3-0 Jagiellonia
Thursday, August 29 at 7pm in Europa League
Last Game: NAC Breda 1-0 Sittard
Saturday, September 14 at 7pm in Eredivisie

We said: Ajax 2-1 Fortuna Sittard

It is too early to tell whether Ajax have left the struggles of last season in the past, but they have produced largely positive results this campaign, and they should come into Wednesday's clash as favourites. However, given the hosts have already played eight competitive games this season, Fortuna could look to take advantage of any early sluggishness from the hosts. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 63.59%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 16.11%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.23%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.58%), while for a Fortuna Sittard win it was 0-1 (4.63%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.

Result
AjaxDrawFortuna Sittard
63.59% (0.228 0.23) 20.3% (0.031000000000002 0.03) 16.11% (-0.257 -0.26)
Both teams to score 53.11% (-0.692 -0.69)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.84% (-0.627 -0.63)42.16% (0.627 0.63)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.44% (-0.632 -0.63)64.56% (0.63200000000001 0.63)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.4% (-0.127 -0.13)12.6% (0.127 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.3% (-0.264 -0.26)38.7% (0.265 0.27)
Fortuna Sittard Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.77% (-0.702 -0.7)39.23% (0.702 0.7)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.06% (-0.665 -0.66)75.94% (0.666 0.67)
Score Analysis
    Ajax 63.58%
    Fortuna Sittard 16.11%
    Draw 20.3%
AjaxDrawFortuna Sittard
2-0 @ 10.6% (0.19 0.19)
1-0 @ 10.23% (0.23 0.23)
2-1 @ 9.92% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 7.32% (0.098000000000001 0.1)
3-1 @ 6.85% (-0.039 -0.04)
4-0 @ 3.79% (0.033 0.03)
4-1 @ 3.55% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.21% (-0.08 -0.08)
4-2 @ 1.66% (-0.05 -0.05)
5-0 @ 1.57% (0.006 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.47% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 63.58%
1-1 @ 9.58% (0.041 0.04)
0-0 @ 4.94% (0.137 0.14)
2-2 @ 4.64% (-0.093 -0.09)
3-3 @ 1% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 20.3%
0-1 @ 4.63% (0.042 0.04)
1-2 @ 4.48% (-0.067 -0.07)
0-2 @ 2.16% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.45% (-0.058 -0.06)
1-3 @ 1.4% (-0.049 -0.05)
Other @ 2%
Total : 16.11%

How you voted: Ajax vs Sittard

Ajax
87.3%
Draw
10.3%
Fortuna Sittard
2.4%
126
Head to Head
Mar 10, 2024 1.30pm
Gameweek 25
Ajax
2-2
Sittard
Taylor (8'), Brobbey (88')
Kaplan (90+6')
Duarte (49'), Sierhuis (66')
Sep 3, 2023 1.30pm
Gameweek 4
Sittard
0-0
Ajax
Buijs (37+37'), Dijks (65'), Rosier (90'), Oratmangoen (90+2')
Avila (36'), Steijn (37'), Brobbey (45+6')
Apr 9, 2023 3.45pm
Gameweek 28
Ajax
4-0
Sittard
Berghuis (6', 27'), Bergwijn (54'), Taylor (86')
Aug 6, 2022 3.30pm
Gameweek 1
Sittard
2-3
Ajax
Gladon (6'), Yilmaz (87')
Seuntjens (27'), Ferati (82'), Gladon (88')
Taylor (48'), Rensch (51'), Brobbey (62')
Dec 22, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 17
Ajax
5-0
Sittard
Blind (14'), Antony (22'), Rensch (82'), Haller (90' pen., 90+2')

van Osch (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV16140256134342
2Ajax16113235161936
3FC UtrechtUtrecht1611323223936
4Feyenoord16105140182235
5FC Twente1694332201231
6AZ AlkmaarAZ1692530171329
7Go Ahead Eagles166462826222
8Fortuna SittardSittard166462023-322
9NAC BredaNAC Breda167181825-722
10Heerenveen166371728-1121
11Willem II165471718-119
12NECNijmegen165292220217
13PEC Zwolle164481525-1016
14Groningen164481426-1216
15Heracles163581833-1514
16Sparta RotterdamSparta162681424-1012
17RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1613121740-236
18Almere CityAlmere City161312737-306


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