Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Go Ahead Eagles win with a probability of 37.92%. A win for FC Twente had a probability of 36.85% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Go Ahead Eagles win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (6.04%). The likeliest FC Twente win was 0-1 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for FC Twente in this match.
