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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 50.53%. A win for Heerenveen had a probability of 25.95% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.23%) and 2-0 (8.09%). The likeliest Heerenveen win was 1-2 (6.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
FC Twente | Draw | Heerenveen |
50.53% ( -0.05) | 23.52% ( 0.18) | 25.95% ( -0.13) |
Both teams to score 57.55% ( -0.73) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.41% ( -0.91) | 43.59% ( 0.9) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.02% ( -0.89) | 65.98% ( 0.89) |
FC Twente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.66% ( -0.36) | 17.34% ( 0.35) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.28% ( -0.63) | 47.71% ( 0.63) |
Heerenveen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.62% ( -0.58) | 30.38% ( 0.58) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.42% ( -0.7) | 66.57% ( 0.69) |
Score Analysis |
FC Twente | Draw | Heerenveen |
2-1 @ 9.63% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.23% ( 0.26) 2-0 @ 8.09% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 5.63% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 4.72% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.35% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 2.47% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 2.07% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.47% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.87% Total : 50.53% | 1-1 @ 10.99% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 5.74% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 5.27% ( 0.21) 3-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.52% | 1-2 @ 6.55% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 6.27% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 3.74% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.6% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 2.28% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.02% Total : 25.95% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 9 | 31 | 33 |
2 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 28 |
3 | Ajax | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 26 |
4 | Feyenoord | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 28 | 13 | 15 | 25 |
5 | FC Twente | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 22 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
7 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 17 |
8 | NECNijmegen | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 16 |
9 | Willem II | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 15 |
10 | Go Ahead Eagles | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 15 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 15 |
12 | Heerenveen | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 14 |
13 | Groningen | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 12 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
15 | Heracles | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 12 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 11 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 27 | -21 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 | 31 | -21 | 4 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |