Eredivisie | Gameweek 25
Mar 12, 2023 at 1.30pm UK
Abe Lenstra Stadion
Heerenveen2 - 4Ajax
FT(HT: 1-3)
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: FC Twente 3-3 Heerenveen
Saturday, March 4 at 8pm in Eredivisie
Saturday, March 4 at 8pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Ajax 1-0 Nijmegen
Sunday, March 5 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie
Sunday, March 5 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie
We said: Heerenveen 0-2 Ajax
While there is the possibility that some Ajax minds may wander to next weekend - when they host league-leading Feyenoord - it is unlikely that Heerenveen will be able to take advantage of any dip and end the winning sequence of their once-again ominous visitors. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 64%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Heerenveen had a probability of 17.25%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.43%) and 1-3 (7.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.24%), while for a Heerenveen win it was 2-1 (4.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Heerenveen | Draw | Ajax |
17.25% ( 0.02) | 18.75% ( -0.05) | 64% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 61.46% ( 0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
