MX23RW : Wednesday, December 18 08:47:28| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
FC Utrecht
Eredivisie | Gameweek 20
Feb 4, 2023 at 7pm UK
Stadion Galgenwaard
Heerenveen

Utrecht
1 - 0
Heerenveen

Douvikas (69' pen.)
Toornstra (84')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Bochniewicz (66'), van Ottele (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between FC Utrecht and Heerenveen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: AZ 5-5 Utrecht
Saturday, January 28 at 8pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Heerenveen 1-3 Vitesse
Saturday, January 28 at 7pm in Eredivisie

We said: FC Utrecht 2-1 Heerenveen

Judging by the league table, there is very little separating Saturday's opponents, and the clash could easily swing either way. That said, we are backing the hosts to narrowly pip their visitors to all three points come the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 49.99%. A win for Heerenveen had a probability of 25.76% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 2-0 (8.48%). The likeliest Heerenveen win was 0-1 (6.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for FC Utrecht in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for FC Utrecht.

Result
FC UtrechtDrawHeerenveen
49.99% (0.116 0.12) 24.25% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01) 25.76% (-0.108 -0.11)
Both teams to score 54.94% (-0.071000000000005 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.04% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)46.96% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.79% (-0.041 -0.04)69.21% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
FC Utrecht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.17% (0.027000000000001 0.03)18.83% (-0.029 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.74% (0.046999999999997 0.05)50.26% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Heerenveen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.68% (-0.111 -0.11)32.32% (0.109 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.18% (-0.124 -0.12)68.82% (0.122 0.12)
Score Analysis
    FC Utrecht 49.99%
    Heerenveen 25.76%
    Draw 24.25%
FC UtrechtDrawHeerenveen
1-0 @ 10.16% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.58% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.48% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
3-1 @ 5.33% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.72% (0.022 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.01% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 2.23% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.97% (0.011 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.26%
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 49.99%
1-1 @ 11.47%
0-0 @ 6.08% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.41% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.13% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.25%
0-1 @ 6.87% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.48% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.88% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.44% (-0.015 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.04% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.46% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 25.76%

How you voted: Utrecht vs Heerenveen

FC Utrecht
86.7%
Draw
6.7%
Heerenveen
6.7%
15
Head to Head
Oct 29, 2022 3.30pm
Feb 27, 2022 7pm
Oct 23, 2021 5.45pm
May 8, 2021 5.45pm
Oct 2, 2020 7pm
Utrecht
1-1
Heerenveen
Kerk (44')
van de Streek (48')
Veerman (4')
Smit (77')
Smit (83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV16140256134342
2Ajax16113235161936
3FC UtrechtUtrecht1611323223936
4Feyenoord16105140182235
5FC Twente1694332201231
6AZ AlkmaarAZ1692530171329
7Go Ahead Eagles166462826222
8Fortuna SittardSittard166462023-322
9NAC BredaNAC Breda167181825-722
10Heerenveen166371728-1121
11Willem II165471718-119
12NECNijmegen165292220217
13PEC Zwolle164481525-1016
14Groningen164481426-1216
15Heracles163581833-1514
16Sparta RotterdamSparta162681424-1012
17RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1613121740-236
18Almere CityAlmere City161312737-306


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