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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 49.99%. A win for Heerenveen had a probability of 25.76% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 2-0 (8.48%). The likeliest Heerenveen win was 0-1 (6.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for FC Utrecht in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for FC Utrecht.
Result | ||
FC Utrecht | Draw | Heerenveen |
49.99% ( 0.12) | 24.25% ( -0.01) | 25.76% ( -0.11) |
Both teams to score 54.94% ( -0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.04% ( -0.05) | 46.96% ( 0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.79% ( -0.04) | 69.21% ( 0.04) |
FC Utrecht Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.17% ( 0.03) | 18.83% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.74% ( 0.05) | 50.26% ( -0.05) |
Heerenveen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.68% ( -0.11) | 32.32% ( 0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.18% ( -0.12) | 68.82% ( 0.12) |
Score Analysis |
FC Utrecht | Draw | Heerenveen |
1-0 @ 10.16% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.58% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.48% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 5.33% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.72% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.01% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.23% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.97% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.26% Other @ 3.23% Total : 49.99% | 1-1 @ 11.47% 0-0 @ 6.08% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.41% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.25% | 0-1 @ 6.87% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.48% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 3.88% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.44% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.04% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.59% Total : 25.76% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 4 | 21 | 21 |
2 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 2 | 14 | 16 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 13 |
4 | FC Twente | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 11 |
5 | Feyenoord | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 10 |
6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 10 |
7 | Groningen | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 9 |
8 | Heracles | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 9 |
9 | Willem II | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 8 |
10 | Ajax | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 7 |
11 | NECNijmegen | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 7 |
12 | Go Ahead Eagles | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 7 |
13 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 7 |
14 | Heerenveen | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 7 |
15 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 6 |
16 | PEC Zwolle | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 4 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 17 | -15 | 2 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 17 | -14 | 0 |
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