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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 52.42%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Heracles had a probability of 23.02%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.61%) and 0-2 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.68%), while for a Heracles win it was 1-0 (7.1%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Heracles | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
23.02% | 24.56% | 52.42% |
Both teams to score 51.05% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.31% | 50.69% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.4% | 72.59% |
Heracles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.26% | 36.74% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.47% | 73.53% |
AZ Alkmaar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.69% | 19.3% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.94% | 51.06% |
Score Analysis |
Heracles | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
1-0 @ 7.1% 2-1 @ 5.85% 2-0 @ 3.56% 3-1 @ 1.95% 3-2 @ 1.61% 3-0 @ 1.19% Other @ 1.76% Total : 23.02% | 1-1 @ 11.68% 0-0 @ 7.09% 2-2 @ 4.81% Other @ 0.98% Total : 24.56% | 0-1 @ 11.66% 1-2 @ 9.61% 0-2 @ 9.59% 1-3 @ 5.27% 0-3 @ 5.26% 2-3 @ 2.64% 1-4 @ 2.17% 0-4 @ 2.16% 2-4 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.98% Total : 52.42% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 9 | 31 | 33 |
2 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 28 |
3 | Ajax | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 26 |
4 | Feyenoord | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 28 | 13 | 15 | 25 |
5 | FC Twente | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 22 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
7 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 17 |
8 | NECNijmegen | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 16 |
9 | Willem II | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 15 |
10 | Go Ahead Eagles | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 15 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 15 |
12 | Heerenveen | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 14 |
13 | Groningen | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 12 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
15 | Heracles | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 12 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 11 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 27 | -21 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 | 31 | -21 | 4 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |