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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 52.42%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Heracles had a probability of 23.02%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.61%) and 0-2 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.68%), while for a Heracles win it was 1-0 (7.1%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Heracles | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
23.02% | 24.56% | 52.42% |
Both teams to score 51.05% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.31% | 50.69% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.4% | 72.59% |
Heracles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.26% | 36.74% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.47% | 73.53% |
AZ Alkmaar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.69% | 19.3% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.94% | 51.06% |
Score Analysis |
Heracles | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
1-0 @ 7.1% 2-1 @ 5.85% 2-0 @ 3.56% 3-1 @ 1.95% 3-2 @ 1.61% 3-0 @ 1.19% Other @ 1.76% Total : 23.02% | 1-1 @ 11.68% 0-0 @ 7.09% 2-2 @ 4.81% Other @ 0.98% Total : 24.56% | 0-1 @ 11.66% 1-2 @ 9.61% 0-2 @ 9.59% 1-3 @ 5.27% 0-3 @ 5.26% 2-3 @ 2.64% 1-4 @ 2.17% 0-4 @ 2.16% 2-4 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.98% Total : 52.42% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 4 | 21 | 21 |
2 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 2 | 14 | 16 |
3 | FC Twente | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 14 |
4 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 13 |
5 | Ajax | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 10 |
6 | Feyenoord | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 10 |
7 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 10 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 10 |
9 | Groningen | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 9 |
10 | Heracles | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 9 |
11 | Willem II | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 8 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 7 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 7 |
14 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 7 |
15 | Heerenveen | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 7 |
16 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 14 | -9 | 6 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 18 | -16 | 2 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 19 | -16 | 0 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |