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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 41.79%. A win for NAC Breda had a probability of 33.22% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.88%) and 0-2 (6.73%). The likeliest NAC Breda win was 1-0 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Heerenveen would win this match.
Result | ||
NAC Breda | Draw | Heerenveen |
33.22% (![]() | 24.99% (![]() | 41.79% (![]() |
Both teams to score 57.12% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.79% (![]() | 46.21% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.5% (![]() | 68.5% (![]() |
NAC Breda Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.3% (![]() | 26.7% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.04% (![]() | 61.96% (![]() |
Heerenveen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.92% (![]() | 22.08% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.57% (![]() | 55.43% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
NAC Breda | Draw | Heerenveen |
1-0 @ 7.78% (![]() 2-1 @ 7.76% 2-0 @ 5.14% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.42% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.58% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.26% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.13% ( ![]() Other @ 3.14% Total : 33.22% | 1-1 @ 11.75% (![]() 0-0 @ 5.9% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.86% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.3% ( ![]() Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.99% | 0-1 @ 8.91% (![]() 1-2 @ 8.88% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 6.73% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.47% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 3.39% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.95% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.69% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.28% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.12% ( ![]() Other @ 2.38% Total : 41.79% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 22 | 16 | 3 | 3 | 69 | 24 | 45 | 51 |
2 | Ajax | 21 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 45 | 18 | 27 | 51 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 22 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 40 | 34 | 6 | 42 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 22 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 38 | 21 | 17 | 40 |
5 | Feyenoord | 21 | 11 | 6 | 4 | 46 | 26 | 20 | 39 |
6 | FC Twente | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 44 | 30 | 14 | 36 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 39 | 34 | 5 | 32 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 29 | 40 | -11 | 26 |
9 | Heerenveen | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 26 | 41 | -15 | 26 |
10 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 22 | 8 | 2 | 12 | 26 | 41 | -15 | 26 |
11 | NECNijmegen | 21 | 7 | 3 | 11 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 24 |
12 | Willem II | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 25 | 31 | -6 | 24 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 24 |
14 | Heracles | 22 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 28 | 39 | -11 | 24 |
15 | Groningen | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 31 | -12 | 24 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 22 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 20 |
17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 22 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 17 |
18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 21 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 12 | 43 | -31 | 13 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |