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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 65.29%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Heerenveen had a probability of 15.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.86%) and 1-0 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.99%), while for a Heerenveen win it was 1-2 (4.34%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.
Result | ||
Feyenoord | Draw | Heerenveen |
65.29% ( 2.11) | 19.29% ( -0.18) | 15.42% ( -1.93) |
Both teams to score 55.03% ( -3.87) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.17% ( -2.94) | 38.83% ( 2.94) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.85% ( -3.16) | 61.15% ( 3.17) |
Feyenoord Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.85% ( -0.3) | 11.15% ( 0.31) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
64.39% ( -0.67) | 35.61% ( 0.67) |
Heerenveen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.94% ( -4.13) | 38.06% ( 4.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.17% ( -4.22) | 74.82% ( 4.22) |
Score Analysis |
Feyenoord | Draw | Heerenveen |
2-0 @ 10.21% ( 1.13) 2-1 @ 9.86% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 9.31% ( 1.14) 3-0 @ 7.47% ( 0.74) 3-1 @ 7.21% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 4.1% ( 0.36) 4-1 @ 3.96% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 3.48% ( -0.44) 4-2 @ 1.91% ( -0.27) 5-0 @ 1.8% ( 0.14) 5-1 @ 1.74% ( -0.06) Other @ 4.25% Total : 65.29% | 1-1 @ 8.99% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 4.77% ( -0.54) 0-0 @ 4.24% ( 0.56) 3-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.29) Other @ 0.16% Total : 19.29% | 1-2 @ 4.34% ( -0.43) 0-1 @ 4.1% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 1.98% ( -0.17) 2-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.38) 1-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.32) Other @ 2.07% Total : 15.43% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 18 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 61 | 15 | 46 | 46 |
2 | Ajax | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 42 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 18 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 36 | 29 | 7 | 39 |
4 | Feyenoord | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 41 | 23 | 18 | 35 |
5 | FC Twente | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 38 | 23 | 15 | 34 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 33 | 19 | 14 | 33 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 28 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 25 |
9 | Heerenveen | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 24 |
10 | Willem II | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 22 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 18 | 7 | 1 | 10 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 22 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 20 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 17 |
15 | Heracles | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 15 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 18 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 13 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 18 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 10 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 18 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 19 | 43 | -24 | 7 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |