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AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Willem II
Eredivisie | Gameweek 13
Nov 24, 2024 at 1.30pm UK
Koning Willem II Stadion
NAC Breda

Willem II
2 - 2
NAC Breda

Bosch (61'), Bokila (90+8' pen.)
Vaesen (62'), Tirpan (66'), Bokila (89'), Nizet (90+9')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Sauer (31'), Greiml (53')
Van den Bergh (90+1'), Hoefkens (90+5'), Leemans (90+9')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Willem II and NAC Breda, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: AZ 1-2 Willem II
Sunday, November 10 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: NAC Breda 0-3 PSV
Saturday, November 9 at 7pm in Eredivisie

We said: Willem II 1-0 NAC Breda

Despite beating Willem II on their last two visits to Tilburg, NAC's wretched road results since regaining promotion — one win, five defeats — leave much to be desired. However, the hosts have not fared better on their turf, winning twice in six matches in front of their supporters. Although the spoils could be shared in Sunday's game, the home side will back themselves to nick a marginal win for a third victory in front of their fans in 2024-25. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 42.27%. A win for NAC Breda had a probability of 32.33% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest NAC Breda win was 0-1 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
Willem IIDrawNAC Breda
42.27% (0.267 0.27) 25.39% (0.077999999999999 0.08) 32.33% (-0.34 -0.34)
Both teams to score 55.44% (-0.377 -0.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.75% (-0.437 -0.44)48.25% (0.444 0.44)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.6% (-0.4 -0.4)70.4% (0.40600000000001 0.41)
Willem II Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.28% (-0.057999999999993 -0.06)22.72% (0.064 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.61% (-0.092000000000006 -0.09)56.4% (0.098000000000006 0.1)
NAC Breda Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.75% (-0.43000000000001 -0.43)28.25% (0.436 0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.04% (-0.548 -0.55)63.96% (0.555 0.56)
Score Analysis
    Willem II 42.28%
    NAC Breda 32.33%
    Draw 25.39%
Willem IIDrawNAC Breda
1-0 @ 9.51% (0.156 0.16)
2-1 @ 8.91% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 7.05% (0.102 0.1)
3-1 @ 4.4% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-0 @ 3.48% (0.044 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.78% (-0.033 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.63% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.29% (0.014 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.03% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 42.28%
1-1 @ 12.02% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
0-0 @ 6.42% (0.117 0.12)
2-2 @ 5.63% (-0.056 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.17% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.39%
0-1 @ 8.11% (0.049000000000001 0.05)
1-2 @ 7.6% (-0.061 -0.06)
0-2 @ 5.13% (-0.032 -0.03)
1-3 @ 3.2% (-0.065 -0.07)
2-3 @ 2.37% (-0.053 -0.05)
0-3 @ 2.16% (-0.04 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.01% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 32.33%

How you voted: Willem II vs NAC Breda

Willem II
76.9%
Draw
15.4%
NAC Breda
7.7%
13
Head to Head
Dec 22, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 20
NAC Breda
1-2
Willem II
Marijnissen (90')
Lucassen (78'), Troost (90+5'), Omgba (90+1'), Vet (90+2')
Hilterman (9', 33')
Hilterman (10'), Maes (69'), Behounek (72'), Smits (90+6')
Sep 5, 2023 9.30am
Gameweek 4
Willem II
1-4
NAC Breda
Oosting (64')
van Berkel (5'), Bosch (37'), Bokila (82')
Sejdiu (4', 74'), Haugen (29'), Van den Bergh (49')
Sejdiu (42'), Martina (53')
Apr 25, 2023 1.30pm
Dec 11, 2022 11.15am
Gameweek 17
Willem II
1-2
NAC Breda
Bokila (9' pen.)
Ligeon (47'), Antonia (52')
Jan 20, 2019 11.15am
Gameweek 18
Willem II
2-0
NAC Breda
Llonch (22'), Vrousai (92')
Dankerlui (16')

El Allouchi (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Ajax25203253183563
2PSV EindhovenPSV25174475304555
3FC UtrechtUtrecht2514744638849
4FC Twente25137550311946
5Feyenoord24128448272144
6AZ AlkmaarAZ24134740241643
7Go Ahead Eagles2512584640641
8Fortuna SittardSittard2595113242-1032
9Heerenveen2586113145-1430
10Groningen2477102333-1028
11NAC BredaNAC Breda2584132743-1628
12Heracles2569103246-1427
13NECNijmegen2575133637-126
14PEC Zwolle2567122940-1125
15Sparta RotterdamSparta2559112434-1024
16Willem II2566132841-1324
17RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk2445153249-1717
18Almere CityAlmere City2535171549-3414


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