Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 42.04%. A win for FC Twente had a probability of 32.72% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest FC Twente win was 0-1 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.