Eredivisie | Gameweek 22

Feb 27, 2022 at 11.15am UK

GelreDome, Arnhem

Vitesse
4 - 1
NEC

Doekhi (54'), Oroz (56', 80'), Buitink (90+4')
Oroz (81'), Buitink (90+5')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Duelund (49')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Vitesse and NEC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Vitesse will be buoyed by their progression to the last 16 of the Europa Conference League and with a win already under their belts against their rivals this season, we think that the hosts will edge out NEC to claim the bragging rights in the Gelderse Derby. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 54.67%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for NEC had a probability of 22.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.84%) and 2-0 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.85%), while for a NEC win it was 0-1 (5.99%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Vitesse would win this match.

Result
Vitesse	Draw	NEC
54.67%	23%	22.32%

Both teams to score 55.11%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.11%

44.89%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.76%

67.24%

Vitesse Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.69%

16.31%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.11%

45.89%

NEC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.85%

34.15%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.15%

70.84%

Score Analysis

Vitesse 54.67%

NEC 22.32%

Draw 23%

Vitesse	Draw	NEC
1-0 @ 10.1% 2-1 @ 9.84% 2-0 @ 9.16% 3-1 @ 5.95% 3-0 @ 5.54% 3-2 @ 3.2% 4-1 @ 2.7% 4-0 @ 2.51% 4-2 @ 1.45% 5-1 @ 0.98% 5-0 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.35% Total : 54.67%	1-1 @ 10.85% 0-0 @ 5.57% 2-2 @ 5.29% 3-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 0.15% Total : 23%	0-1 @ 5.99% 1-2 @ 5.83% 0-2 @ 3.22% 1-3 @ 2.09% 2-3 @ 1.89% 0-3 @ 1.15% Other @ 2.16% Total : 22.32%