Eredivisie | Gameweek 25

Apr 2, 2022 at 5.45pm UK

De Grolsch Veste

FC Twente
3 - 3
PSV

van Wolfswinkel (13', 19'), Vlap (25')
Sadilek (42'), van Wolfswinkel (59'), Zerrouki (78')

FT(HT: 3-1)

Veerman (35'), Gakpo (53'), Boscagli (90+3')
Ramalho (59'), Sangare (71'), Vinicius (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between FC Twente and PSV Eindhoven, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Twente

Last Six:

Last Game: Feyenoord 1-2 FC Twente
Sunday, May 15 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
3	Feyenoord	33	43	71
4	FC Twente	33	17	65
5	AZ Alkmaar	33	22	61

PSV Eindhoven

Last Six:

Last Game: PEC Zwolle 1-2 PSV
Sunday, May 15 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Ajax	33	79	82
2	PSV Eindhoven	33	43	78
3	Feyenoord	33	43	71

We said: FC Twente 1-2 PSV Eindhoven

PSV know that any dropped points from here on out could signal the end of their title challenge, and we expect them to be fully up for this one. We are also backing this weekend's visitors to come away with all three points, albeit by a narrow margin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 57.41%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for FC Twente had a probability of 20.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.92%) and 0-2 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.57%), while for a FC Twente win it was 1-0 (5.64%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.

Result
FC Twente	Draw	PSV Eindhoven
20.21%	22.38%	57.41%

Both teams to score 54.07%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.23%

44.77%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.87%

67.13%

FC Twente Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.86%

36.13%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.08%

72.91%

PSV Eindhoven Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.66%

15.34%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.9%

44.1%

Score Analysis

FC Twente 20.21%

PSV Eindhoven 57.41%

Draw 22.37%

FC Twente	Draw	PSV Eindhoven
1-0 @ 5.64% 2-1 @ 5.38% 2-0 @ 2.87% 3-1 @ 1.83% 3-2 @ 1.71% 3-0 @ 0.97% Other @ 1.8% Total : 20.21%	1-1 @ 10.57% 0-0 @ 5.54% 2-2 @ 5.05% 3-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 0.14% Total : 22.37%	0-1 @ 10.39% 1-2 @ 9.92% 0-2 @ 9.74% 1-3 @ 6.2% 0-3 @ 6.09% 2-3 @ 3.15% 1-4 @ 2.9% 0-4 @ 2.85% 2-4 @ 1.48% 1-5 @ 1.09% 0-5 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.53% Total : 57.41%