Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 57.41%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for FC Twente had a probability of 20.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.92%) and 0-2 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.57%), while for a FC Twente win it was 1-0 (5.64%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.