Eredivisie | Gameweek 17
Jan 21, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
Goffertstadion
Nijmegen3 - 1Emmen
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Vitesse 0-0 Nijmegen
Sunday, January 15 at 11.15am in Eredivisie
Sunday, January 15 at 11.15am in Eredivisie
Last Game: Emmen 0-0 Cambuur
Sunday, January 15 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie
Sunday, January 15 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie
We said: NEC 1-0 Emmen
We expect this game to be a closely-fought contest given the fact that both sides do not tend to score many goals. However, Emmen have conceded 19 goals in eight matches on their travels this season and have the worst away record in the division, so we are expecting the home side to prevail here. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 37.72%. A win for Emmen had a probability of 37.45% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.06%) and 2-0 (5.83%). The likeliest Emmen win was 1-2 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that NEC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| NEC | Draw | Emmen |
37.72% ( -0.24) | 24.84% ( 0.08) | 37.45% ( 0.16) |
| Both teams to score 58.37% ( -0.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
