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Go Ahead Eagles
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NEC
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Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
NEC
Eredivisie | Gameweek 19
Jan 28, 2023 at 7pm UK
Goffertstadion
Sparta Rotterdam logo

Nijmegen
1 - 1
Sparta

Marques (80')
Marquez (76')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Verschueren (58')
Eerdhuijzen (56'), Kitolano (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between NEC and Sparta Rotterdam, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Feyenoord 2-0 Nijmegen
Wednesday, January 25 at 8pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Sparta 0-0 RKC Waalwijk
Tuesday, January 24 at 8pm in Eredivisie

We said: NEC 1-1 Sparta Rotterdam

Sparta have been extremely frugal at the defensive end of the pitch recently, but we expect NEC to get on the scoresheet here. We can also see the teams nullifying the threat of each other en route to a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 37.6%. A win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 36.62% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.34%) and 2-0 (6.21%). The likeliest Sparta Rotterdam win was 0-1 (8.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
NECDrawSparta Rotterdam
37.6% (-0.64100000000001 -0.64) 25.77% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04) 36.62% (0.681 0.68)
Both teams to score 55.02% (0.187 0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.83% (0.22000000000001 0.22)49.16% (-0.219 -0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.77% (0.199 0.2)71.23% (-0.199 -0.2)
NEC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.45% (-0.249 -0.25)25.54% (0.249 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.59% (-0.341 -0.34)60.41% (0.342 0.34)
Sparta Rotterdam Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.9% (0.498 0.5)26.1% (-0.495 -0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.84% (0.661 0.66)61.15% (-0.66 -0.66)
Score Analysis
    NEC 37.6%
    Sparta Rotterdam 36.62%
    Draw 25.77%
NECDrawSparta Rotterdam
1-0 @ 9.1% (-0.149 -0.15)
2-1 @ 8.34% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)
2-0 @ 6.21% (-0.146 -0.15)
3-1 @ 3.79% (-0.063 -0.06)
3-0 @ 2.82% (-0.088 -0.09)
3-2 @ 2.55% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.29% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-0 @ 0.96% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 37.6%
1-1 @ 12.22% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.67% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-2 @ 5.6% (0.028 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.14% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.77%
0-1 @ 8.96% (0.046999999999999 0.05)
1-2 @ 8.21% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
0-2 @ 6.02% (0.114 0.11)
1-3 @ 3.68% (0.095 0.1)
0-3 @ 2.69% (0.089 0.09)
2-3 @ 2.51% (0.047 0.05)
1-4 @ 1.24% (0.049 0.05)
0-4 @ 0.91% (0.042 0.04)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 36.62%

How you voted: Nijmegen vs Sparta

NEC
41.7%
Draw
8.3%
Sparta Rotterdam
50.0%
12
Head to Head
Oct 16, 2022 11.15am
Sparta
2-0
Nijmegen
Abels (7'), De Guzman (29')

Elkarouani (25')
Mar 19, 2022 8pm
Sep 17, 2021 7pm
Sparta
1-1
Nijmegen
Mijnans (44')
Auassar (62'), Abels (73')
Okita (28')
Akman (36'), Barreto (79'), Schone (85')
Mar 24, 2019 11.15am
Sparta
1-0
Nijmegen
Ache (40')

Bruijn (32'), Wolters (42')
Nov 18, 2018 3.45pm
Nijmegen
1-1
Sparta
Braken (7')
Bossaerts (59'), Dijkstra (66'), van Eijden (89')
Harroui (84')
Auassar (27')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV1211014093133
2FC UtrechtUtrecht119112011928
3Ajax1182125111426
4Feyenoord1274128131525
5FC Twente1264224111322
6AZ AlkmaarAZ125252314917
7Fortuna SittardSittard125251316-317
8NECNijmegen125161910916
9Willem II124351312115
10Go Ahead Eagles124351520-515
11NAC BredaNAC Breda125071221-915
12Heerenveen124261323-1014
13Groningen123361219-712
14PEC Zwolle123361422-812
15Heracles123361223-1112
16Sparta RotterdamSparta122551218-611
17Almere CityAlmere City12138627-216
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1211101031-214


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