Eredivisie | Gameweek 19

Jan 28, 2023 at 7pm UK

Goffertstadion

Nijmegen
1 - 1
Sparta

Marques (80')
Marquez (76')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Verschueren (58')
Eerdhuijzen (56'), Kitolano (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between NEC and Sparta Rotterdam, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

NEC

All competitions

Last Game: Feyenoord 2-0 Nijmegen
Wednesday, January 25 at 8pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Sparta Rotterdam

All competitions

Last Game: Sparta 0-0 RKC Waalwijk
Tuesday, January 24 at 8pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: NEC 1-1 Sparta Rotterdam

Sparta have been extremely frugal at the defensive end of the pitch recently, but we expect NEC to get on the scoresheet here. We can also see the teams nullifying the threat of each other en route to a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 37.6%. A win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 36.62% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.34%) and 2-0 (6.21%). The likeliest Sparta Rotterdam win was 0-1 (8.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
NEC	Draw	Sparta Rotterdam
37.6% ( -0.64)	25.77% ( -0.04)	36.62% ( 0.68)

Both teams to score 55.02% (

0.19)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.83% (

0.22)

49.16% (

-0.22)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.77% (

0.2)

71.23% (

-0.2)

NEC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.45% (

-0.25)

25.54% (

0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.59% (

-0.34)

60.41% (

0.34)

Sparta Rotterdam Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.9% (

0.5)

26.1% (

-0.5)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.84% (

0.66)

61.15% (

-0.66)

Score Analysis

NEC 37.6%

Sparta Rotterdam 36.62%

Draw 25.77%

NEC	Draw	Sparta Rotterdam
1-0 @ 9.1% ( -0.15) 2-1 @ 8.34% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 6.21% ( -0.15) 3-1 @ 3.79% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 2.82% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 2.55% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.29% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 0.96% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.54% Total : 37.6%	1-1 @ 12.22% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.67% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.6% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.14% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.77%	0-1 @ 8.96% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 8.21% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 6.02% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 3.68% ( 0.1) 0-3 @ 2.69% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 2.51% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 1.24% ( 0.05) 0-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.42% Total : 36.62%