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AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
NEC
Eredivisie | Gameweek 9
Oct 8, 2022 at 8pm UK
Goffertstadion
Excelsior

Nijmegen
1 - 1
Excelsior

Dimata (59')
Marquez (81'), Tannane (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Lamprou (88')
Seymor (22'), Baas (74'), van Duinen (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between NEC and SBV Excelsior, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nijmegen 1-1 Feyenoord
Sunday, October 2 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Excelsior 0-1 Utrecht
Sunday, October 2 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

We said: NEC 2-1 SBV Excelsior

With the teams neck and neck in the standings, we are anticipating a fairly even contest with chances at both ends. We can also see NEC just about managing to pip their visitors to all three points at the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 50.89%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 25.27% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 2-0 (8.47%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 0-1 (6.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.

Result
NECDrawSBV Excelsior
50.89% (-0.090000000000003 -0.09) 23.84% (-0.031000000000002 -0.03) 25.27% (0.122 0.12)
Both teams to score 55.82% (0.23099999999999 0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.43% (0.248 0.25)45.57% (-0.246 -0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.1% (0.235 0.24)67.9% (-0.233 -0.23)
NEC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.06% (0.060000000000002 0.06)17.94% (-0.058 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.23% (0.10299999999999 0.1)48.77% (-0.1 -0.1)
SBV Excelsior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.02% (0.233 0.23)31.98% (-0.231 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.56% (0.265 0.27)68.43% (-0.26300000000001 -0.26)
Score Analysis
    NEC 50.9%
    SBV Excelsior 25.27%
    Draw 23.83%
NECDrawSBV Excelsior
1-0 @ 9.86% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
2-1 @ 9.65% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 8.47% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
3-1 @ 5.53% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.85% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.15% (0.025 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.38% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.08% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.35% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 3.58%
Total : 50.9%
1-1 @ 11.23% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 5.74% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-2 @ 5.5% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.2% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.83%
0-1 @ 6.54% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 6.41% (0.027 0.03)
0-2 @ 3.73% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.44% (0.025 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.09% (0.026 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.42% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 25.27%

How you voted: NEC vs SBV Excelsior

NEC
66.7%
Draw
20.0%
SBV Excelsior
13.3%
15
Head to Head
Apr 9, 2021 7pm
SBV Excelsior
2-1
NEC
Zwarts (63', 79')
Wieffer (48')
Vet (16')
Jan 8, 2021 5.45pm
NEC
3-2
SBV Excelsior
Okita (50'), Elkarouani (79'), Bruijn (86' pen.)
Odenthal (28'), Proper (42'), Okita (72'), Vet (90+5')
Zwarts (14'), Van Rooijen (17')
Wieffer (49'), Matthys (90+4')
Ormonde-Ottewill (76')
Apr 10, 2020 7pm
Dec 6, 2019 7pm
SBV Excelsior
2-1
NEC
Fischer (48'), Zwarts (73')
Ter Haar Romeny (49')
Apr 22, 2017 5.30pm
NEC
0-1
SBV Excelsior

Bikel (6'), Golla (68'), von Haacke (87')
Van Duinen (58')
de Wijs (21')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV17150259134645
2Ajax17123237162139
3FC UtrechtUtrecht1711333428636
4Feyenoord17105240211935
5AZ AlkmaarAZ17102531171432
6FC Twente1794432211131
7Go Ahead Eagles177463027325
8Fortuna SittardSittard177462525025
9Willem II176472119222
10NAC BredaNAC Breda177191927-822
11Heerenveen176381731-1421
12NECNijmegen1752102324-117
13PEC Zwolle174581626-1017
14Groningen164481426-1216
15Heracles163581833-1514
16Sparta RotterdamSparta172691426-1212
17Almere CityAlmere City1723121037-279
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1714121841-237


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