MX23RW : Wednesday, December 18 02:33:27| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
PEC Zwolle
Eredivisie | Gameweek 31
Apr 28, 2024 at 11.15am UK
MAC³PARK Stadion
Heracles Almelo

PEC Zwolle
3 - 1
Heracles

Thy (16'), van der Water (69'), Krastev (90+3')
Namli (49'), Krastev (75'), Lam (82')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Vejinovic (45+2')
De Keersmaecker (53'), Hrustic (89'), Bruns (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between PEC Zwolle and Heracles, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nijmegen 2-2 PEC Zwolle
Sunday, April 14 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Heracles 0-2 Heerenveen
Sunday, April 14 at 11.15am in Eredivisie

We said: PEC Zwolle 1-2 Heracles

As shown by their respective league standings, there is little separating the teams, and this weekend's clash could easily swing either way. That said, we are backing the away side to get the job done, albeit by only a narrow margin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PEC Zwolle win with a probability of 59.62%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Heracles had a probability of 20%.

The most likely scoreline for a PEC Zwolle win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.4%) and 1-0 (7.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.15%), while for a Heracles win it was 1-2 (5.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PEC Zwolle would win this match.

Result
PEC ZwolleDrawHeracles
59.62% (1.509 1.51) 20.38% (0.016000000000002 0.02) 20% (-1.528 -1.53)
Both teams to score 60.71% (-2.626 -2.63)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.14% (-2.31 -2.31)35.86% (2.307 2.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.06% (-2.588 -2.59)57.94% (2.585 2.59)
PEC Zwolle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.22% (-0.31 -0.31)11.78% (0.307 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.03% (-0.665 -0.66)36.97% (0.661 0.66)
Heracles Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.81% (-2.727 -2.73)31.19% (2.724 2.72)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.47% (-3.296 -3.3)67.53% (3.293 3.29)
Score Analysis
    PEC Zwolle 59.62%
    Heracles 20%
    Draw 20.38%
PEC ZwolleDrawHeracles
2-1 @ 9.79% (0.172 0.17)
2-0 @ 8.4% (0.748 0.75)
1-0 @ 7.86% (0.787 0.79)
3-1 @ 6.98% (0.038 0.04)
3-0 @ 5.99% (0.467 0.47)
3-2 @ 4.07% (-0.295 -0.3)
4-1 @ 3.73% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-0 @ 3.2% (0.213 0.21)
4-2 @ 2.18% (-0.186 -0.19)
5-1 @ 1.6% (-0.031 -0.03)
5-0 @ 1.37% (0.075 0.08)
5-2 @ 0.93% (-0.093 -0.09)
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 59.62%
1-1 @ 9.15% (0.271 0.27)
2-2 @ 5.7% (-0.34 -0.34)
0-0 @ 3.67% (0.408 0.41)
3-3 @ 1.58% (-0.248 -0.25)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 20.38%
1-2 @ 5.33% (-0.249 -0.25)
0-1 @ 4.28% (0.177 0.18)
0-2 @ 2.49% (-0.084 -0.08)
2-3 @ 2.22% (-0.316 -0.32)
1-3 @ 2.07% (-0.266 -0.27)
0-3 @ 0.97% (-0.111 -0.11)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 20%

How you voted: PEC Zwolle vs Heracles

PEC Zwolle
18.2%
Draw
18.2%
Heracles
63.6%
11
Head to Head
Oct 1, 2023 1.30pm
Gameweek 7
Heracles
2-1
PEC Zwolle
Hansson (69' pen., 82')
Bruns (58')
Thy (53')
Velanas (15'), Lam (29'), Buurmeester (76')
Jan 15, 2023 1.30pm
Gameweek 20
Heracles
0-3
PEC Zwolle
Lagsir (8'), Van den Belt (35'), Thy (39')
Oct 14, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 11
PEC Zwolle
3-2
Heracles
Kastaneer (27'), Thy (34', 36')
Armenteros (45+2'), Cicilia (88')
Feb 26, 2022 3.30pm
Oct 23, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 9
PEC Zwolle
1-0
Heracles
Van Polen (90+2' pen.)

Vloet (90+9')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV16140256134342
2Ajax16113235161936
3FC UtrechtUtrecht1611323223936
4Feyenoord16105140182235
5FC Twente1694332201231
6AZ AlkmaarAZ1692530171329
7Go Ahead Eagles166462826222
8Fortuna SittardSittard166462023-322
9NAC BredaNAC Breda167181825-722
10Heerenveen166371728-1121
11Willem II165471718-119
12NECNijmegen165292220217
13PEC Zwolle164481525-1016
14Groningen164481426-1216
15Heracles163581833-1514
16Sparta RotterdamSparta162681424-1012
17RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1613121740-236
18Almere CityAlmere City161312737-306


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