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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PEC Zwolle win with a probability of 38.68%. A win for Heracles had a probability of 33.91% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a PEC Zwolle win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.21%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Heracles win was 0-1 (10.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for PEC Zwolle in this match.
Result | ||
PEC Zwolle | Draw | Heracles |
38.68% | 27.41% | 33.91% |
Both teams to score 49.41% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.84% | 56.16% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.78% | 77.22% |
PEC Zwolle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.77% | 28.22% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.07% | 63.92% |
Heracles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.84% | 31.16% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.5% | 67.49% |
Score Analysis |
PEC Zwolle | Draw | Heracles |
1-0 @ 11.12% 2-1 @ 8.21% 2-0 @ 7.04% 3-1 @ 3.46% 3-0 @ 2.97% 3-2 @ 2.02% 4-1 @ 1.09% 4-0 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.84% Total : 38.68% | 1-1 @ 12.97% 0-0 @ 8.79% 2-2 @ 4.78% Other @ 0.86% Total : 27.41% | 0-1 @ 10.25% 1-2 @ 7.56% 0-2 @ 5.98% 1-3 @ 2.94% 0-3 @ 2.32% 2-3 @ 1.86% Other @ 2.99% Total : 33.9% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 9 | 31 | 33 |
2 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 28 |
3 | Ajax | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 26 |
4 | Feyenoord | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 28 | 13 | 15 | 25 |
5 | FC Twente | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 22 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
7 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 17 |
8 | NECNijmegen | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 16 |
9 | Willem II | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 15 |
10 | Go Ahead Eagles | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 15 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 15 |
12 | Heerenveen | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 14 |
13 | Groningen | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 12 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
15 | Heracles | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 12 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 11 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 27 | -21 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 | 31 | -21 | 4 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |