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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 47.75%. A win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 29.6% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.11%) and 2-0 (6.55%). The likeliest PEC Zwolle win was 1-2 (7.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Heracles in this match.
Result | ||
Heracles | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
47.75% ( 0.59) | 22.66% ( -0.06) | 29.6% ( -0.52) |
Both teams to score 63.67% ( -0.12) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.16% ( -0.02) | 36.84% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.99% ( -0.02) | 59.02% ( 0.03) |
Heracles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.17% ( 0.21) | 15.83% ( -0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.99% ( 0.38) | 45.01% ( -0.37) |
PEC Zwolle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.64% ( -0.33) | 24.36% ( 0.34) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.24% ( -0.47) | 58.76% ( 0.48) |
Score Analysis |
Heracles | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
2-1 @ 9.25% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 7.11% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 6.55% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 5.68% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 4.03% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 4.01% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.62% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 1.86% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 1.85% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 0.97% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.82% Total : 47.75% | 1-1 @ 10.03% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.53% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 3.86% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.34% Total : 22.65% | 1-2 @ 7.09% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 5.45% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 3.85% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 3.34% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 3.08% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 1.18% ( -0.04) 2-4 @ 1.09% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.73% Total : 29.6% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 9 | 31 | 33 |
2 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 28 |
3 | Ajax | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 26 |
4 | Feyenoord | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 28 | 13 | 15 | 25 |
5 | FC Twente | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 22 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
7 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 17 |
8 | NECNijmegen | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 16 |
9 | Willem II | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 15 |
10 | Go Ahead Eagles | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 15 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 15 |
12 | Heerenveen | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 14 |
13 | Groningen | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 12 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
15 | Heracles | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 12 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 11 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 27 | -21 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 | 31 | -21 | 4 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |