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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 57.41%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Heracles had a probability of 21.13%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.7%) and 0-1 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.87%), while for a Heracles win it was 2-1 (5.6%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Heracles | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
21.13% (![]() | 21.45% (![]() | 57.41% (![]() |
Both teams to score 58.68% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.65% (![]() | 39.34% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.32% (![]() | 61.68% (![]() |
Heracles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.86% (![]() | 32.14% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.38% (![]() | 68.62% (![]() |
AZ Alkmaar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.48% (![]() | 13.52% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.42% (![]() | 40.58% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Heracles | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
2-1 @ 5.6% (![]() 1-0 @ 4.93% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 2.8% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 2.12% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.12% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 1.06% ( ![]() Other @ 2.5% Total : 21.13% | 1-1 @ 9.87% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.6% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.35% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.41% ( ![]() Other @ 0.22% Total : 21.45% | 1-2 @ 9.87% (![]() 0-2 @ 8.7% ( ![]() 0-1 @ 8.7% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 6.59% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 5.8% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.74% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 3.29% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 2.9% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.87% ( ![]() 1-5 @ 1.32% ( ![]() 0-5 @ 1.16% ( ![]() Other @ 3.47% Total : 57.41% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Ajax | 25 | 20 | 3 | 2 | 53 | 18 | 35 | 63 |
2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 25 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 75 | 30 | 45 | 55 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 25 | 14 | 7 | 4 | 46 | 38 | 8 | 49 |
4 | FC Twente | 25 | 13 | 7 | 5 | 50 | 31 | 19 | 46 |
5 | Feyenoord | 24 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 48 | 27 | 21 | 44 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 40 | 24 | 16 | 43 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 46 | 40 | 6 | 41 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 32 | 42 | -10 | 32 |
9 | Heerenveen | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 30 |
10 | Groningen | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 33 | -10 | 28 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 25 | 8 | 4 | 13 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 28 |
12 | Heracles | 25 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 27 |
13 | NECNijmegen | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 36 | 37 | -1 | 26 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 29 | 40 | -11 | 25 |
15 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 25 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 24 | 34 | -10 | 24 |
16 | Willem II | 25 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 28 | 41 | -13 | 24 |
17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 32 | 49 | -17 | 17 |
18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 25 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 15 | 49 | -34 | 14 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |