MX23RW : Monday, March 10 22:33:35| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Heracles Almelo
Eredivisie | Gameweek 28
Apr 3, 2024 at 5.45pm UK
Polman Stadion
AZ Alkmaar

Heracles
5 - 0
AZ

De Keersmaecker (19'), Hornkamp (38' pen., 40' pen.), Sankoh (90', 90+4')
De Keersmaecker (15'), Hoogma (34')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Belic (45')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Eredivisie clash between Heracles and AZ Alkmaar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: FC Twente 1-0 Heracles
Sunday, March 31 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: AZ 2-0 Vitesse
Saturday, March 30 at 8pm in Eredivisie

We said: Heracles 1-2 AZ Alkmaar

Despite their poor run of form, Heracles have been showing the credentials to get something out of this contest. Nevertheless, AZ are also playing with the belief to edge a tight contest, and we expect that to materialise here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 57.41%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Heracles had a probability of 21.13%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.7%) and 0-1 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.87%), while for a Heracles win it was 2-1 (5.6%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.

Result
HeraclesDrawAZ Alkmaar
21.13% (0.264 0.26) 21.45% (-0.139 -0.14) 57.41% (-0.126 -0.13)
Both teams to score 58.68% (0.901 0.9)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.65% (0.997 1)39.34% (-0.998 -1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.32% (1.035 1.04)61.68% (-1.034 -1.03)
Heracles Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.86% (0.816 0.82)32.14% (-0.817 -0.82)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.38% (0.917 0.92)68.62% (-0.91800000000001 -0.92)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.48% (0.291 0.29)13.52% (-0.29 -0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.42% (0.575 0.57)40.58% (-0.576 -0.58)
Score Analysis
    Heracles 21.13%
    AZ Alkmaar 57.41%
    Draw 21.45%
HeraclesDrawAZ Alkmaar
2-1 @ 5.6% (0.051 0.05)
1-0 @ 4.93% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-0 @ 2.8% (-0.004 -0)
3-1 @ 2.12% (0.066 0.07)
3-2 @ 2.12% (0.087 0.09)
3-0 @ 1.06% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 21.13%
1-1 @ 9.87% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-2 @ 5.6% (0.109 0.11)
0-0 @ 4.35% (-0.206 -0.21)
3-3 @ 1.41% (0.072 0.07)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 21.45%
1-2 @ 9.87% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-2 @ 8.7% (-0.22 -0.22)
0-1 @ 8.7% (-0.315 -0.32)
1-3 @ 6.59% (0.052 0.05)
0-3 @ 5.8% (-0.084000000000001 -0.08)
2-3 @ 3.74% (0.112 0.11)
1-4 @ 3.29% (0.061 0.06)
0-4 @ 2.9% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.87% (0.076 0.08)
1-5 @ 1.32% (0.038 0.04)
0-5 @ 1.16% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 3.47%
Total : 57.41%

How you voted: Heracles vs AZ

Heracles
19.6%
Draw
8.7%
AZ Alkmaar
71.7%
46
Head to Head
Sep 28, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 3
AZ
1-1
Heracles
Pavlidis (13')
Sadiq (87')
Ouahim (53')
De Keersmaecker (56'), Bakboord (82'), Vejinovic (89')
Feb 19, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 20
AZ
2-1
Heracles
Reijnders (25'), Pavlidis (48')
Sep 19, 2021 3.45pm
Gameweek 5
Heracles
3-2
AZ
Sierhuis (45+1'), Burgzorg (72'), Vloet (90+3')
Vloet (49'), Quagliata (50'), Burgzorg (50')
Gudmundsson (19'), Reijnders (89')
Midtsjo (90+2')
Clasie (45')
May 16, 2021 1.30pm
Gameweek 34
AZ
5-0
Heracles
Boadu (41', 74'), Karlsson (50', 57'), Wijndal (87')
Leeuwin (80'), Bizot (90')

Fadiga (58'), Knoester (76')
Nov 29, 2020 3.45pm
Gameweek 10
Heracles
1-2
AZ
Schoofs (75')
Bakis (69'), Quagliata (86')
Koopmeiners (41' pen.), Boadu (44')
De Wit (66')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Ajax25203253183563
2PSV EindhovenPSV25174475304555
3FC UtrechtUtrecht2514744638849
4FC Twente25137550311946
5Feyenoord24128448272144
6AZ AlkmaarAZ24134740241643
7Go Ahead Eagles2512584640641
8Fortuna SittardSittard2595113242-1032
9Heerenveen2586113145-1430
10Groningen2477102333-1028
11NAC BredaNAC Breda2584132743-1628
12Heracles2569103246-1427
13NECNijmegen2575133637-126
14PEC Zwolle2567122940-1125
15Sparta RotterdamSparta2559112434-1024
16Willem II2566132841-1324
17RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk2445153249-1717
18Almere CityAlmere City2535171549-3414


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