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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 39.12%. A win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 35.38% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.55%) and 0-2 (6.4%). The likeliest PEC Zwolle win was 1-0 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Willem II in this match.
Result | ||
PEC Zwolle | Draw | Willem II |
35.38% ( 0.18) | 25.51% ( 0.05) | 39.12% ( -0.22) |
Both teams to score 55.84% ( -0.13) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.93% ( -0.18) | 48.07% ( 0.18) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.76% ( -0.16) | 70.24% ( 0.16) |
PEC Zwolle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.7% ( 0.02) | 26.3% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.57% ( 0.03) | 61.43% ( -0.02) |
Willem II Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.77% ( -0.2) | 24.23% ( 0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.42% ( -0.28) | 58.58% ( 0.28) |
Score Analysis |
PEC Zwolle | Draw | Willem II |
1-0 @ 8.51% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 8.06% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 5.68% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 3.59% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.54% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.53% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.2% ( 0) Other @ 3.27% Total : 35.38% | 1-1 @ 12.06% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.37% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.71% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.5% | 0-1 @ 9.03% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 8.55% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 6.4% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 4.04% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 3.03% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.7% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.43% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.91% Total : 39.12% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 17 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 59 | 13 | 46 | 45 |
2 | Ajax | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 39 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 35 |
5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 32 |
6 | FC Twente | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 31 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 25 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 25 |
9 | Willem II | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 22 |
10 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 22 |
11 | Heerenveen | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 21 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 24 | -1 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 12 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 9 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 17 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 7 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |