Eredivisie | Gameweek 10
Oct 27, 2024 at 3.45pm UK
Amsterdam ArenA
Ajax1 - 0Willem II
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Qarabag 0-3 Ajax
Thursday, October 24 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Thursday, October 24 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Willem II 0-0 Sittard
Sunday, October 20 at 11.15am in Eredivisie
Sunday, October 20 at 11.15am in Eredivisie
Goals
for
for
11
We said: Ajax 4-1 Willem II
Having lost just three times this season, Willem II will back themselves to earn something from this contest. Nevertheless, Ajax are building up a head of steam, leading us to predict a one-sided victory. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 76.59%. A draw had a probability of 14.9% and a win for Willem II had a probability of 8.52%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.41%) and 1-0 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.06%), while for a Willem II win it was 0-1 (2.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ajax | Draw | Willem II |
76.59% ( 0.02) | 14.9% | 8.52% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 47.52% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.24% ( -0.05) | 36.76% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.07% ( -0.06) | 58.93% ( 0.06) |
| Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.07% ( -0.01) | 7.94% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 71.96% ( -0.02) | 28.04% ( 0.02) |
| Willem II Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.61% ( -0.07) | 48.39% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 16.49% ( -0.05) | 83.51% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
Ajax 76.58%
Willem II 8.52%
Draw 14.9%
| Ajax | Draw | Willem II |
| 2-0 @ 12.32% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 10.41% ( 0.02)1-0 @ 9.73% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 8.95% ( -0)3-1 @ 7.56% ( -0)4-0 @ 6.59% ( 0)4-1 @ 4.79% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 3.34% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.74% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 2.43% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.74% ( -0.01)6-0 @ 1.41% ( -0)6-1 @ 1.02% ( -0)Other @ 3.55% Total : 76.58% | 1-1 @ 7.06% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.84% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 3.25% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.75% Total : 14.9% | 0-1 @ 2.79% ( 0) 1-2 @ 2.56% ( -0)0-2 @ 1.01% ( -0)Other @ 2.15% Total : 8.52% |
How you voted: Ajax vs Willem II
Ajax
87.0%Draw
6.5%Willem II
6.5%46
Head to Head
Feb 19, 2022 5.45pm
Dec 23, 2020 5.45pm
Apr 26, 2020 1.30pm
Gameweek 32
Willem II
P-P
Ajax
