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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 65.43%. A draw has a probability of 19.1% and a win for Willem II has a probability of 15.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win is 2-0 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.84%) and 1-0 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (8.83%), while for a Willem II win it is 1-2 (4.36%).
Result | ||
AZ Alkmaar | Draw | Willem II |
65.43% ( 0.02) | 19.07% ( -0.01) | 15.5% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 56.01% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.34% ( 0.01) | 37.66% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.1% ( 0.01) | 59.9% ( -0.01) |
AZ Alkmaar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.22% ( 0.01) | 10.78% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
65.21% ( 0.02) | 34.79% ( -0.02) |
Willem II Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.77% ( -0.01) | 37.23% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.99% ( -0.01) | 74.01% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
AZ Alkmaar | Draw | Willem II |
2-0 @ 9.96% ( 0) 2-1 @ 9.84% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.94% ( -0) 3-0 @ 7.39% ( 0) 3-1 @ 7.31% ( 0) 4-0 @ 4.12% ( 0) 4-1 @ 4.07% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.61% 4-2 @ 2.01% 5-0 @ 1.83% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.81% ( 0) Other @ 4.55% Total : 65.43% | 1-1 @ 8.83% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.86% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.01% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.19% Other @ 0.18% Total : 19.07% | 1-2 @ 4.36% ( -0) 0-1 @ 3.96% ( -0) 0-2 @ 1.96% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.6% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.44% ( -0) Other @ 2.17% Total : 15.5% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 11 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 37 | 9 | 28 | 30 |
2 | Ajax | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 9 | 14 | 25 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 25 |
4 | Feyenoord | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 22 |
5 | FC Twente | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 22 | 9 | 13 | 21 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 17 |
7 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 17 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 15 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 15 |
10 | NECNijmegen | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 13 |
11 | Willem II | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 12 |
12 | Heracles | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 12 |
13 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 11 |
14 | Heerenveen | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 11 |
15 | Groningen | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 9 |
16 | PEC Zwolle | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 9 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 23 | -18 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 10 | 28 | -18 | 4 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |