Eredivisie | Gameweek 3
Sep 27, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
Philips Stadion
We said: PSV Eindhoven 3-1 Go Ahead Eagles
Go Ahead Eagles will travel with some confidence, but PSV Eindhoven are playing at their best with plenty of momentum on their side, and we see Bosz's men being far too strong on home turf for their visitors and scoring another three-point haul in dominant fashion.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 71.4% . A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for Go Ahead Eagles had a probability of 12% .
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.27% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.45%) and 3-0 (8.48%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.63%) , while for a Go Ahead Eagles win it was 1-2 (3.51%) . The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
Result PSV Eindhoven Draw Go Ahead Eagles 71.4% ( 0.01) 16.6% ( -0) 12% ( -0.01)
Both teams to score 55.08% ( -0.02)
65.93% ( -0.01) 34.06% ( 0.01)
44.06% ( -0.01) 55.94% ( 0.01)
91.58% ( -0) 8.41% ( 0)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 70.76% ( -0) 29.23% ( 0)
60.14% ( -0.02) 39.86% ( 0.02)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 23.47% ( -0.02) 76.52% ( 0.02)
PSV Eindhoven 71.39%
Go Ahead Eagles 12%
Draw 16.6%
PSV Eindhoven Draw Go Ahead Eagles 2-0 @ 10.27% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.45% 3-0 @ 8.48% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.3% ( 0) 3-1 @ 7.8% 4-0 @ 5.25% ( 0) 4-1 @ 4.83% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.59% ( -0) 5-0 @ 2.6% ( 0) 5-1 @ 2.39% 4-2 @ 2.22% ( -0) 5-2 @ 1.1% ( -0) 6-0 @ 1.07% ( 0) 6-1 @ 0.99% Other @ 3.07% Total : 71.39% 1-1 @ 7.63% 2-2 @ 4.35% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.35% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0) Other @ 0.17% Total : 16.6% 1-2 @ 3.51% ( -0) 0-1 @ 3.08% 0-2 @ 1.42% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.33% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.08% ( -0) Other @ 1.57% Total : 12%
How you voted: PSV vs Go Ahead Eagles
PSV Eindhoven
Draw
Go Ahead Eagles
27
rhs 2.0
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