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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Go Ahead Eagles win with a probability of 49.89%. A win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 26.62% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Go Ahead Eagles win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.96%) and 2-0 (7.85%). The likeliest Fortuna Sittard win was 1-2 (6.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Go Ahead Eagles would win this match.
Result | ||
Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
49.89% ( 0.18) | 23.49% ( -0.04) | 26.62% ( -0.15) |
Both teams to score 58.29% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.11% ( 0.04) | 42.89% ( -0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.71% ( 0.04) | 65.29% ( -0.04) |
Go Ahead Eagles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.69% ( 0.08) | 17.31% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.33% ( 0.15) | 47.67% ( -0.15) |
Fortuna Sittard Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.5% ( -0.09) | 29.5% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.49% ( -0.11) | 65.51% ( 0.1) |
Score Analysis |
Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
2-1 @ 9.59% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.96% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.85% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 5.61% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 4.59% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.42% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.46% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 2.01% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.5% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.9% Total : 49.89% | 1-1 @ 10.93% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.85% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.11% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.39% ( -0) Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.48% | 1-2 @ 6.67% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 6.23% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 3.81% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.72% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.38% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.26% Total : 26.62% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 16 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 56 | 13 | 43 | 42 |
2 | Ajax | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 35 | 16 | 19 | 36 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 23 | 9 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 40 | 18 | 22 | 35 |
5 | FC Twente | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 32 | 20 | 12 | 31 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 30 | 17 | 13 | 29 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 22 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 22 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 16 | 7 | 1 | 8 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 22 |
10 | Heerenveen | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 21 |
11 | Willem II | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 19 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 12 |
17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 17 | 40 | -23 | 6 |
18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 7 | 37 | -30 | 6 |
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